BearishQualified moversAug 15, 2026Daily report

Set Spotlight leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Market state

Among 1,163 qualified market movers, decliners led 707 to 456 with a recorded 7-day direction (60.8%).

Tracked

43,031

Qualified up

456

Qualified down

707

Top move

+128.1%

View set details

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

456

qualified movers up

39.2% of qualified movers

707

qualified movers down

60.8% of qualified movers

Based on 1,163 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,868 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

18 fewer cards rose than in the previous report (456 today).
New to the lead coverage: Centiskorch V and SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery.
Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Set read

Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery

The SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery has demonstrated a solid average 7-day price change of +2.8%, contrasting sharply with the overall market sentiment, which is currently bearish.

This set comprises 25 tracked cards, all of which have an average composite score of 26, indicating a relatively stable card quality.
Notably, the top card, Centiskorch V, is contributing to this positive movement.
The absence of high momentum cards suggests that the gains are broad-based rather than driven by a few standout items.

Featured set profile

SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Year: 2022
Top Card: Centiskorch V
Cards Tracked: 25
Composite Score: 26.00

Exact evidence1 rowSWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence

Evidence table — SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence

SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG

Year: 2022
Top Card: Centiskorch V
Cards Tracked: 25
Composite Score: 26.00
Average 7d Change: +2.8%
High Momentum Cards: 0

Exact values for SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence
Set	Year	Top Card	Cards Tracked	Composite Score	Average 7d Change	High Momentum Cards
SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG	2022	Centiskorch V	25	26.00	+2.8%	0

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot reveals significant premiums for several cards.

Haunter commands a raw price of $50.00 with a PSA 10 value of $1400.00, reflecting a premium of 28.0x, supported by 7 PSA 10 sales.
Scizor, with a raw price of $15.00, sees a PSA 10 price of $382.50, resulting in a 25.5x premium from 5 sales.
Dewott follows closely with a 25.4x premium based on a raw price of $19.00 and a PSA 10 price of $482.50 from 4 sales.

Exact evidence6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums

Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums

Haunter

Raw: $50.00
PSA 10: $1,400.00
Premium: 28.0x
PSA 10 Sales: 7

Scizor

Raw: $15.00
PSA 10: $382.50
Premium: 25.5x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Dewott

Raw: $19.00
PSA 10: $482.50
Premium: 25.4x
PSA 10 Sales: 4

Gengar ex

Raw: $7.40
PSA 10: $187.50
Premium: 25.3x
PSA 10 Sales: 4

Snorlax

Raw: $20.00
PSA 10: $455.00
Premium: 22.8x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Miltank

Raw: $13.00
PSA 10: $325.00
Premium: 25.0x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Card	Raw	PSA 10	Premium	PSA 10 Sales
Haunter	$50.00	$1,400.00	28.0x	7
Scizor	$15.00	$382.50	25.5x	5
Dewott	$19.00	$482.50	25.4x	4
Gengar ex	$7.40	$187.50	25.3x	4
Snorlax	$20.00	$455.00	22.8x	3
Miltank	$13.00	$325.00	25.0x	3

Momentum read

Top Movers

Leading the gainers this week, Zeraora VMAX from Crown Zenith (#054/159) surged to $3.18, marking a remarkable increase of +128.1%.

Morpeko ex from ME05 Pitch Black also saw a significant rise, now priced at $7.59, up +41.9%.
Notably, Mega Eelektross ex from ME Ascended Heroes increased by +31.8% to $4.41, while Mega Gengar ex from ME Mega Evolution Promo rose +29.7% to $4.75.

Zeraora VMAX card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Morpeko ex card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Volume read

Volume Watch

Poliwrath from the Base Set experienced a dramatic volume spike, with current sales at 23, representing 3.4 times the typical 7-day sales of 7, alongside a price increase of +7.7%.

Similarly, Charizard from the Base Set Shadowless recorded 38 sales, 3.5 times its typical volume of 11, with no price movement, indicating steady demand despite the broader market's bearish sentiment.

Exact evidence3 rowsVolume Spike Evidence

Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence

Poliwrath

Set: Base Set1999 Pokemon TCG
Market: $40.98
Price Change: +7.7%
Volume Multiple: 3.4x
Current 7d Sales: 23
Typical 7d Sales: 7

Electabuzz

Set: Base Set1999 Pokemon TCG
Market: $9.86
Price Change: -24.3%
Volume Multiple: 3.6x
Current 7d Sales: 10
Typical 7d Sales: 3

Charizard

Set: Base Set Shadowless1999 Pokemon TCG
Market: $240.00
Price Change: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.5x
Current 7d Sales: 38
Typical 7d Sales: 11

Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
Card	Set	Market	Price Change	Volume Multiple	Current 7d Sales	Typical 7d Sales
Poliwrath	Base Set1999 Pokemon TCG	$40.98	+7.7%	3.4x	23	7
Electabuzz	Base Set1999 Pokemon TCG	$9.86	-24.3%	3.6x	10	3
Charizard	Base Set Shadowless1999 Pokemon TCG	$240.00	0.0%	3.5x	38	11

Price reset

Notable Declines

Fomantis from ME05 Pitch Black saw a significant decline of -74.0%, now priced at $3.42, with a high sales volume of 658 suggesting a sharp pullback in value.

Manectric also faced a steep drop of -72.5% to $3.06, supported by 601 sales, indicating strong selling pressure in the market.

Fomantis card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Manectric card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME05 Pitch Black set underperformed the market average with a 7-day change of -9.5%, reflecting a 9.3% decline relative to the market.

In contrast, the SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery outperformed the market by 3%, showing a +2.8% change.
Meanwhile, the ME Ascended Heroes set also underperformed with a -2.5% change, while the ME Mega Evolution Promo set fell by -3.6%.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -9.5%
Tracked card value: $730.89
Vs market: -9.3%
30d card sales: 13,060

ME Mega Evolution Promo2025 set

7d movement: -3.6%
Tracked card value: $3,459.86
Vs market: -3.4%
30d card sales: 5,281

Set read

Sets in Motion

The strongest estimated tracked-card basket changes include the Prize Pack Series Cards with a 7-day change of +6.4% and Crown Zenith at +1.6%.

Conversely, the ME05 Pitch Black set shows a decline of -8.5%, while ME02 Phantasmal Flames decreased by -7.1%.
The average tracked-card basket across 142 qualified sets is currently valued at $1381.52.

Sealed read

Sealed Movers

Sealed-product movement compares the 7-day sales median with the 30-day sales median.

Current prices, medians, and available sales windows are shown in the evidence rows below.

Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box product image — Sealed movers
Current price · 7-day median vs 30-day median · recent sales where available · PokeFocus sealed-product snapshots

Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle product image — Sealed movers
Current price · 7-day median vs 30-day median · recent sales where available · PokeFocus sealed-product snapshots

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current prices for Trevenant VMAX (Secret) at $6.93 show an 811.1% model gap against a reference of $63.14, with a 55% confidence level.

Lightning Energy (Secret) is priced at $8.37, indicating a 671.8% gap from its modeled reference of $64.60, with 52% confidence.
Hoopa EX at $7.01 has a 597.6% gap from a reference of $48.90, with 50% confidence.

Exact evidence6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference

Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference

Trevenant VMAX (Secret)

Market: $6.93
Confidence: 55%
Model Gap %: +811.1%
Modeled Reference: $63.14

Lightning Energy (Secret)

Market: $8.37
Confidence: 52%
Model Gap %: +671.8%
Modeled Reference: $64.60

Hoopa EX

Market: $7.01
Confidence: 50%
Model Gap %: +597.6%
Modeled Reference: $48.90

Arven

Market: $9.62
Confidence: 65%
Model Gap %: +547.9%
Modeled Reference: $62.33

Origin Forme Dialga V

Market: $5.05
Confidence: 75%
Model Gap %: +461.8%
Modeled Reference: $28.37

Muk

Market: $10.32
Confidence: 67%
Model Gap %: +431.4%
Modeled Reference: $54.84

Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Card	Market	Confidence	Model Gap %	Modeled Reference
Trevenant VMAX (Secret)	$6.93	55%	+811.1%	$63.14
Lightning Energy (Secret)	$8.37	52%	+671.8%	$64.60
Hoopa EX	$7.01	50%	+597.6%	$48.90
Arven	$9.62	65%	+547.9%	$62.33
Origin Forme Dialga V	$5.05	75%	+461.8%	$28.37
Muk	$10.32	67%	+431.4%	$54.84

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

The Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister (ME04 Chaos Rising 2026) is priced at $20.52 for 3 packs, resulting in a price-per-pack of $6.84.

The Pitch Black Sleeved Booster Pack (ME05 Pitch Black 2026) is available for $7.20 for a single pack.
Additionally, the Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] offers 2 packs for $14.72, equating to $7.36 per pack.

Exact evidence16 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Evidence table — Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] product image

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $20.52
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $6.84

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.88
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.88

Pitch Black Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Pitch Black Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.08

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.20
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.20

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.72
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.36

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) product image

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.86
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.43

Surging Sparks Booster Pack product image

Surging Sparks Booster PackBooster Pack / $7.90

Set: SV08 Surging Sparks2024 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.78
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.78

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.86
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.93

Paradox Rift Booster PackBooster Pack / $8.41

Set: SV04 Paradox Rift2023 Pokemon TCG
Market: $8.43
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $8.43

Pitch Black Half Booster Boxes product image

Pitch Black Half Booster BoxesBooster Box / $8.99

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $8.99
Packs: 36
$/Pack: $0.25

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.99
Packs: 6
$/Pack: $2.67

Perfect Order Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.08

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $5.20
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $5.20

Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.23

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $5.52
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $5.52

Pokemon - Poke Ball Tin - Repeat Ball (Q4 2025) product image

Pokemon - Poke Ball Tin - Repeat Ball (Q4 2025)Tin / $22.65

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $22.64
Packs: 4
$/Pack: $5.66

Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.58

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.06
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.06

Journey Together Booster Pack product image

Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.73

Set: SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.29
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.29

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Salamence & Litleo] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Salamence & Litleo]Tin / $13.76

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $13.74
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $6.87

Exact values for Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Product	Set	Market	Packs	$/Pack
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$20.52	3	$6.84
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.88	1	$6.88
Pitch Black Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.08	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.20	1	$7.20
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.72	2	$7.36
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.86	2	$7.43
Surging Sparks Booster PackBooster Pack / $7.90	SV08 Surging Sparks2024 Pokemon TCG	$7.78	1	$7.78
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.86	2	$7.93
Paradox Rift Booster PackBooster Pack / $8.41	SV04 Paradox Rift2023 Pokemon TCG	$8.43	1	$8.43
Pitch Black Half Booster BoxesBooster Box / $8.99	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$8.99	36	$0.25
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.99	6	$2.67
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.08	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$5.20	1	$5.20
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.23	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$5.52	1	$5.52
Pokemon - Poke Ball Tin - Repeat Ball (Q4 2025)Tin / $22.65	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$22.64	4	$5.66
Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.58	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.06	1	$6.06
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.73	SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG	$6.29	1	$6.29
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Salamence & Litleo]Tin / $13.76	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$13.74	2	$6.87

Continue the comparison

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.