Significant Price Gaps Highlight Value Discrepancies: Ho-Oh EX at 793.2%
Today's market analysis reveals stark Solid Value Plays, indicating potential misalignments in collector sentiment and actual card values.
Market state
Among 1,168 qualified market movers, decliners led 662 to 506 with a recorded 7-day direction (56.7%).
Tracked
43,009
Qualified up
506
Qualified down
662
Top move
+45.6%
Qualified mover breadth
7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot
506
qualified movers up
43.3% of qualified movers
662
qualified movers down
56.7% of qualified movers
Based on 1,168 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,841 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.
Since the previous report
What changed
- 3 fewer cards rose than in the previous report (506 today).
- New to the lead coverage: Ho-Oh EX and Nemona.
- Solid Value Plays is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.
Fair value read
Solid Value Plays
Current market prices for Ho-Oh EX at $6.28 show a modeled reference of $56.09, resulting in a 793.2% gap with 58% confidence.
- Similarly, Nemona at $7.47 has a modeled reference of $60.07, indicating a 704.1% gap with 75% confidence.
- Marill's price of $7.24 contrasts sharply with a modeled reference of $44.50, reflecting a 514.6% gap and 73% confidence.
- These substantial discrepancies suggest notable market inefficiencies, though liquidity remains uncertain.
- Market
- $6.28
- Confidence
- 58%
- Model Gap %
- +793.2%
- Modeled Reference
- $56.09
- Market
- $7.47
- Confidence
- 75%
- Model Gap %
- +704.1%
- Modeled Reference
- $60.07
- Market
- $7.24
- Confidence
- 73%
- Model Gap %
- +514.6%
- Modeled Reference
- $44.50
- Market
- $13.09
- Confidence
- 54%
- Model Gap %
- +508.4%
- Modeled Reference
- $79.64
- Market
- $16.56
- Confidence
- 56%
- Model Gap %
- +451.6%
- Modeled Reference
- $91.35
- Market
- $7.32
- Confidence
- 69%
- Model Gap %
- +936.2%
- Modeled Reference
- $75.85
| Card | Market | Confidence | Model Gap % | Modeled Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | $6.28 | 58% | +793.2% | $56.09 |
 | $7.47 | 75% | +704.1% | $60.07 |
 | $7.24 | 73% | +514.6% | $44.50 |
 | $13.09 | 54% | +508.4% | $79.64 |
 | $16.56 | 56% | +451.6% | $91.35 |
 | $7.32 | 69% | +936.2% | $75.85 |
Grading read
Grading Watch
The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot reveals Charizard ex at a raw price of $5.99 and a PSA 10 price of $260.00, yielding a premium multiple of 43.4x with 3 PSA 10 sales.
- Charizard V shows a raw price of $7.00 and PSA 10 price of $199.99, resulting in a 28.6x premium with 13 sales.
- Other notable cards include Pachirisu at $15.00 (PSA 10: $424.99, 28.3x premium) and Braviary at $9.50 (PSA 10: $255.00, 26.9x premium).
- Raw
- $5.99
- PSA 10
- $260.00
- Premium
- 43.4x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 3
- Raw
- $7.00
- PSA 10
- $199.99
- Premium
- 28.6x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 13
- Raw
- $15.00
- PSA 10
- $424.99
- Premium
- 28.3x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 3
- Raw
- $9.50
- PSA 10
- $255.00
- Premium
- 26.9x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 3
- Raw
- $6.29
- PSA 10
- $165.00
- Premium
- 26.2x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 7
- Raw
- $7.51
- PSA 10
- $195.00
- Premium
- 26.0x
- PSA 10 Sales
- 3
| Card | Raw | PSA 10 | Premium | PSA 10 Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | $5.99 | $260.00 | 43.4x | 3 |
 | $7.00 | $199.99 | 28.6x | 13 |
 | $15.00 | $424.99 | 28.3x | 3 |
 | $9.50 | $255.00 | 26.9x | 3 |
 | $6.29 | $165.00 | 26.2x | 7 |
 | $7.51 | $195.00 | 26.0x | 3 |
Momentum read
Top Movers
Chandelure from SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery leads with a price of $4.53, up 45.6%.
- Kieran from SV06 Twilight Masquerade follows at $3.89, gaining 38.7%.
- Oshawott (Master Ball Pattern) is now priced at $12.30, reflecting a 36.1% increase.
- Silvally from ME05 Pitch Black rises to $3.71, up 30.9%, while Mega Gengar ex reaches $4.46, up 29.7%.
Dachsbun ex at $4.28 rounds out the top gainers with a 29.6% increase.
Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot
- Market
- $4.53
- 7d move
- +45.6%
- Sales
- 3 / 27 7d / 30d
- Market
- $3.89
- 7d move
- +38.7%
- Sales
- 5 / 14 7d / 30d
- Market
- $12.30
- 7d move
- +36.1%
- Sales
- 4 / 8 7d / 30d
- Market
- $3.71
- 7d move
- +30.9%
- Sales
- 38 / 223 7d / 30d
- Market
- $4.46
- 7d move
- +29.7%
- Sales
- 24 / 117 7d / 30d
- Market
- $4.28
- 7d move
- +29.6%
- Sales
- 5 / 22 7d / 30d
Volume read
Volume Watch
Charizard (Base Set Shadowless) has seen a significant volume spike, with 38 current sales compared to a typical 11, marking a 3.5x increase.
- Metang (SV05 Temporal Forces) also shows strong demand, with 43 sales against a typical 14, a 3.2x increase.
- Snorlax from the Prize Pack Series Cards has 31 sales, up from a typical 10, indicating a 3.0x spike in interest.
- Market
- $240.00
- Price Change
- 0.0%
- Volume Multiple
- 3.5x
- Current 7d Sales
- 38
- Typical 7d Sales
- 11
- Market
- $3.43
- Price Change
- 0.0%
- Volume Multiple
- 3.2x
- Current 7d Sales
- 43
- Typical 7d Sales
- 14
- Market
- $27.27
- Price Change
- +0.6%
- Volume Multiple
- 3.1x
- Current 7d Sales
- 15
- Typical 7d Sales
- 5
- Market
- $54.68
- Price Change
- +13.7%
- Volume Multiple
- 3.0x
- Current 7d Sales
- 31
- Typical 7d Sales
- 10
- Market
- $9.73
- Price Change
- -24.3%
- Volume Multiple
- 3.6x
- Current 7d Sales
- 10
- Typical 7d Sales
- 3
- Market
- $12.40
- Price Change
- -100.0%
- Volume Multiple
- 3.5x
- Current 7d Sales
- 13
- Typical 7d Sales
- 4
| Card | Set | Market | Price Change | Volume Multiple | Current 7d Sales | Typical 7d Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | $240.00 | 0.0% | 3.5x | 38 | 11 |
 |  | $3.43 | 0.0% | 3.2x | 43 | 14 |
 |  | $27.27 | +0.6% | 3.1x | 15 | 5 |
 |  | $54.68 | +13.7% | 3.0x | 31 | 10 |
 |  | $9.73 | -24.3% | 3.6x | 10 | 3 |
 |  | $12.40 | -100.0% | 3.5x | 13 | 4 |
Price reset
Notable Declines
Cyndaquil (ME Mega Evolution Promo) has dropped to $15.49, down 20.5%, with 114 sales supporting this decline.
- Gladion's Final Battle from ME05 Pitch Black has decreased to $4.38, reflecting a 20.0% drop with 285 sales.
- Mewtwo from SV Scarlet and Violet 151 has also declined to $3.81, down 18.8%, with 48 sales indicating a weakening interest.
Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot
- Market
- $3.28
- 7d move
- -26.0%
- Sales
- 15 / 74 7d / 30d
- Market
- $15.49
- 7d move
- -20.5%
- Sales
- 18 / 96 7d / 30d
- Market
- $4.38
- 7d move
- -20.0%
- Sales
- 30 / 128 7d / 30d
- Market
- $3.81
- 7d move
- -18.8%
- Sales
- 18 / 48 7d / 30d
- Market
- $5.67
- 7d move
- -16.4%
- Sales
- 17 / 88 7d / 30d
- Market
- $4.71
- 7d move
- -17.2%
- Sales
- 11 / 60 7d / 30d
Set read
Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance
SWSH10 Astral Radiance has shown an average 7-day price change of +2.5% with a composite score of 15.
- The set contains 23 tracked cards, with Radiant Greninja as the top card, indicating its strong collector interest despite the lack of high momentum cards.
Featured set profile
Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot
- Year
- 2022
- Top Card
- Radiant Greninja
- Cards Tracked
- 23
- Composite Score
- 15.00
- Year
- 2022
- Top Card
- Radiant Greninja
- Cards Tracked
- 23
- Composite Score
- 15.00
- Average 7d Change
- +2.5%
- High Momentum Cards
- 0
| Set | Year | Top Card | Cards Tracked | Composite Score | Average 7d Change | High Momentum Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2022 | Radiant Greninja | 23 | 15.00 | +2.5% | 0 |
Sector read
Set Comparisons
SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery has outperformed the market with an average 7-day change of +1.8%, while SV Scarlet and Violet 151 has underperformed at -1.8%.
- ME03 Perfect Order shows a +1.7% change, indicating resilience despite a 30-day decline of -12.3%.
- In contrast, SWSH10 Astral Radiance has a 7-day change of +2.5%, outperforming the market average.
Set highlights
7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot
- 7d movement
- +2.5%
- Tracked card value
- $948.01
- Vs market
- +2.5%
- 30d card sales
- 473
- 7d movement
- -1.8%
- Tracked card value
- $2,067.12
- Vs market
- -1.8%
- 30d card sales
- 4,523
Set read
Sets in Motion
The strongest estimated tracked-card basket changes include Prize Pack Series Cards at $756.25 (+3.8% 7d) and SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery at $716.56 (+0.6% 7d).
- Conversely, ME05 Pitch Black shows a significant decline at $893.81 (-8.1% 7d), while SV Scarlet and Violet 151 has dropped to $1892.41 (-2.5% 7d).
Set highlights
7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot
- 7d movement
- -8.1%
- Tracked card value
- $893.81
- Vs market
- —
- 30d card sales
- 13,330
- 7d movement
- +3.8%
- Tracked card value
- $756.25
- Vs market
- —
- 30d card sales
- 826
Sealed read
Sealed Movers
Sealed-product movement compares the 7-day sales median with the 30-day sales median.
- Current prices, medians, and available sales windows are shown in the evidence rows below.
Sealed movers
Current price · 7-day median vs 30-day median · recent sales where available · PokeFocus sealed-product snapshots
- Pitch Black Elite Trainer BoxME05 Pitch Black (2026)
- Current
- $72.59
- Median comparison
- +67.7%
- 7d / 30d median
- $122.58 / $73.10 7d / 30d
- 30d sales
- 6
- Scarlet & Violet Booster BundleSV01 Scarlet and Violet Base Set (2023)
- Current
- $105.02
- Median comparison
- +49.7%
- 7d / 30d median
- $97.50 / $65.11 7d / 30d
- 30d sales
- 5
- Sinnoh Star Mini Tin DisplayMiscellaneous Cards and Products (2018)
- Current
- $246.34
- Median comparison
- -45.0%
- 7d / 30d median
- $71.50 / $129.99 7d / 30d
- 30d sales
- 49
- Paldea Evolved Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) CaseSV02 Paldea Evolved (2023)
- Current
- $6,000.00
- Median comparison
- +20.0%
- 7d / 30d median
- $7,497.99 / $6,248.50 7d / 30d
- 30d sales
- 3
- Trick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 - Mini Booster PackTrick or Trade BOOster Bundle 2024 (2024)
- Current
- $2.33
- Median comparison
- +15.6%
- 7d / 30d median
- $2.27 / $1.96 7d / 30d
- 30d sales
- 17
- Prismatic Evolutions Booster PackSV Prismatic Evolutions (2025)
- Current
- $14.87
- Median comparison
- +15.5%
- 7d / 30d median
- $17.10 / $14.81 7d / 30d
- 30d sales
- 7
Pack read
Pack Value Plays
The Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack is priced at $6.79 for 1 pack, while the Lumiose City Mini Tin [Gallade & Goomy] offers 2 packs for $13.92, resulting in a price-per-pack of $6.96.
- Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister is available at $21.13 for 3 packs, equating to $7.04 per pack.
- The Pitch Black Half Booster Boxes are notably priced at $8.99 for 36 packs, yielding a price-per-pack of $0.25.
- Market
- $6.79
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $6.79
![Lumiose City Mini Tin [Gallade & Goomy] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/685579_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $13.92
- Packs
- 2
- $/Pack
- $6.96
![Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/672393_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $21.13
- Packs
- 3
- $/Pack
- $7.04
![Lumiose City Mini Tin [Salamence & Litleo] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/685575_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $14.53
- Packs
- 2
- $/Pack
- $7.27
![Lumiose City Mini Tin [Meganium & Meowstic] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/685576_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $14.62
- Packs
- 2
- $/Pack
- $7.31
![Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/684457_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $7.80
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $7.80
- Market
- $7.82
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $7.82
![Perfect Order Single Pack Blister [Makuhita] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/672410_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $8.05
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $8.05
![Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Archaludon] (3-tab) product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/654113_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $17.00
- Packs
- 2
- $/Pack
- $8.50
- Market
- $8.99
- Packs
- 36
- $/Pack
- $0.25
- Market
- $15.99
- Packs
- 6
- $/Pack
- $2.67
![Triple Whammy Tin [Slaking] product image](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/591147_200w.jpg)
- Market
- $22.34
- Packs
- 4
- $/Pack
- $5.59
- Market
- $22.78
- Packs
- 4
- $/Pack
- $5.70
- Market
- $5.86
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $5.86
- Market
- $6.17
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $6.17
- Market
- $6.56
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $6.56
- Market
- $6.74
- Packs
- 1
- $/Pack
- $6.74
Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.