BearishQualified moversJul 24, 2026Daily report

Market Pullbacks leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Market state

Among 1,202 qualified market movers, decliners led 843 to 359 with a recorded 7-day direction (70.1%).

Tracked

42,937

Qualified up

359

Qualified down

843

Top move

+45.6%

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

359

qualified movers up

29.9% of qualified movers

843

qualified movers down

70.1% of qualified movers

Based on 1,202 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,735 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

12 more cards rose than in the previous report (359 today).
New to the lead coverage: Armarouge and Fomantis.
Notable Declines is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Price reset

Notable Declines

Mega Zeraora ex #098/084 from ME05 Pitch Black has plummeted to $8.28, reflecting a staggering 76.3% drop, supported by a 30-day sales volume of 182.

Primarina #088/084 from ME05 Pitch Black also experienced a severe decline of 87.1%, now priced at $6.89 with 410 sales in the last month.
These declines indicate a cooling demand rather than normal market fluctuations.

Armarouge card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Fomantis card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot shows Stunfisk with a raw price of $6.00 and a PSA 10 price of $499.99, resulting in an 83.3x premium from 3 PSA 10 sales.

Charizard ex follows with a raw price of $6.25 and a PSA 10 price of $222.73, yielding a 35.6x premium from 6 PSA 10 sales.
These premiums highlight the significant value attached to graded cards in the current market.

Exact evidence6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums

Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums

Stunfisk

Raw: $6.00
PSA 10: $499.99
Premium: 83.3x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Charizard ex

Raw: $6.25
PSA 10: $222.73
Premium: 35.6x
PSA 10 Sales: 6

Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60)

Raw: $8.23
PSA 10: $261.73
Premium: 31.8x
PSA 10 Sales: 4

Smeargle

Raw: $5.50
PSA 10: $157.50
Premium: 28.7x
PSA 10 Sales: 6

Absol

Raw: $8.85
PSA 10: $200.00
Premium: 22.6x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Snorlax

Raw: $20.17
PSA 10: $450.99
Premium: 22.4x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Card	Raw	PSA 10	Premium	PSA 10 Sales
Stunfisk	$6.00	$499.99	83.3x	3
Charizard ex	$6.25	$222.73	35.6x	6
Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60)	$8.23	$261.73	31.8x	4
Smeargle	$5.50	$157.50	28.7x	6
Absol	$8.85	$200.00	22.6x	3
Snorlax	$20.17	$450.99	22.4x	3

Momentum read

Top Movers

Among the top gainers, Chandelure #TG04/TG30 from SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery has surged to $4.55, marking a 45.6% increase with 57 sales in the past 30 days.

Mega Chandelure ex #099/084 from ME05 Pitch Black follows closely, now priced at $9.48, up 39.8% with a robust sales volume of 215.
Morty's Conviction #201/162 from SV05 Temporal Forces also gained traction, rising to $4.13, reflecting a 39.2% increase.

Chandelure card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Mega Chandelure ex card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Volume read

Volume Watch

Volume spikes are evident with Gladion's Final Battle (ME05 Pitch Black), achieving 128 sales, which is 4.1 times the typical 7-day sales baseline of 31, alongside a price increase of 22.7%.

Similarly, Gwynn (ME05 Pitch Black) recorded 154 sales, 3.9 times the typical volume, indicating heightened interest despite the overall bearish market.

Exact evidence6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence

Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence

Gladion's Final Battle

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $32.06
Price Change: +22.7%
Volume Multiple: 4.1x
Current 7d Sales: 128
Typical 7d Sales: 31

Snorlax

Set: Pokemon GO2022 Pokemon TCG
Market: $3.25
Price Change: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.0x
Current 7d Sales: 16
Typical 7d Sales: 4

Gwynn

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $41.25
Price Change: +1.9%
Volume Multiple: 3.9x
Current 7d Sales: 154
Typical 7d Sales: 40

Mega Darkrai ex

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $190.79
Price Change: -29.1%
Volume Multiple: 3.9x
Current 7d Sales: 49
Typical 7d Sales: 13

Mega Excadrill ex

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $9.35
Price Change: -38.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.5x
Current 7d Sales: 142
Typical 7d Sales: 41

Wailord ex

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $4.02
Price Change: -5.2%
Volume Multiple: 3.5x
Current 7d Sales: 138
Typical 7d Sales: 40

Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
Card	Set	Market	Price Change	Volume Multiple	Current 7d Sales	Typical 7d Sales
Gladion's Final Battle	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$32.06	+22.7%	4.1x	128	31
Snorlax	Pokemon GO2022 Pokemon TCG	$3.25	0.0%	4.0x	16	4
Gwynn	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$41.25	+1.9%	3.9x	154	40
Mega Darkrai ex	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$190.79	-29.1%	3.9x	49	13
Mega Excadrill ex	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$9.35	-38.0%	3.5x	142	41
Wailord ex	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$4.02	-5.2%	3.5x	138	40

Set read

Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery

The SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery set has an average 7-day price change of +1.9% and a composite score of 25, with 27 cards tracked.

Hisuian Arcanine stands out as the top card, reflecting stable interest despite the overall bearish market sentiment.

Featured set profile

SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Year: 2022
Top Card: Hisuian Arcanine
Cards Tracked: 27
Composite Score: 25.00

Exact evidence1 rowSWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence

Evidence table — SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence

SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG

Year: 2022
Top Card: Hisuian Arcanine
Cards Tracked: 27
Composite Score: 25.00
Average 7d Change: +1.9%
High Momentum Cards: 0

Exact values for SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery Evidence
Set	Year	Top Card	Cards Tracked	Composite Score	Average 7d Change	High Momentum Cards
SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery2022 Pokemon TCG	2022	Hisuian Arcanine	27	25.00	+1.9%	0

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME05 Pitch Black set has shown a significant average 7-day decline of 32.7%, underperforming the market average of -1.2% by 31.5%.

In contrast, Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery (2023) has an average 7-day change of -4.7%, also underperforming the market.
These comparisons highlight the challenges faced by recent sets in maintaining value.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -32.7%
Tracked card value: $727.89
Vs market: -31.5%
30d card sales: 7,932

Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery2023 set

7d movement: -4.7%
Tracked card value: $2,348.41
Vs market: -3.4%
30d card sales: 5,874

Set read

Sets in Motion

The five strongest estimated tracked-card basket changes include SWSH10 Astral Radiance with a 7-day increase of 1.5% and a basket value of $385.01 from 331 sales.

Conversely, ME05 Pitch Black experienced a 32.9% decline, now valued at $1,028.82 with 7,932 sales, underscoring the volatility in recent set valuations.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -32.9%
Tracked card value: $1,028.82
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 7,932

Crown Zenith2023 set

7d movement: -8.1%
Tracked card value: $162.08
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 1,120

Sealed read

Sealed Movers

Sealed-product movement compares the 7-day sales median with the 30-day sales median.

Current prices, medians, and available sales windows are shown in the evidence rows below.

Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box product image — Sealed movers
Current price · 7-day median vs 30-day median · recent sales where available · PokeFocus sealed-product snapshots

Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle product image — Sealed movers
Current price · 7-day median vs 30-day median · recent sales where available · PokeFocus sealed-product snapshots

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing for Shining Volcanion at $7.49 shows a modeled reference gap of 889.2% with a 60% confidence level.

Shining Genesect at $12.87 has a modeled reference gap of 505.1% with 55% confidence, while Misdreavus at $10.55 shows a 346.4% gap with 53% confidence, indicating substantial discrepancies between market prices and modeled values.

Exact evidence6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference

Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference

Shining Volcanion

Market: $7.49
Confidence: 60%
Model Gap %: +889.2%
Modeled Reference: $74.09

Shining Genesect

Market: $12.87
Confidence: 55%
Model Gap %: +505.1%
Modeled Reference: $77.87

Misdreavus

Market: $10.55
Confidence: 53%
Model Gap %: +346.4%
Modeled Reference: $47.09

Hitmontop

Market: $9.43
Confidence: 67%
Model Gap %: +354.9%
Modeled Reference: $42.90

Muk

Market: $11.18
Confidence: 67%
Model Gap %: +346.5%
Modeled Reference: $49.92

Moltres EX (Team Plasma)

Market: $9.96
Confidence: 50%
Model Gap %: +334.3%
Modeled Reference: $43.26

Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Card	Market	Confidence	Model Gap %	Modeled Reference
Shining Volcanion	$7.49	60%	+889.2%	$74.09
Shining Genesect	$12.87	55%	+505.1%	$77.87
Misdreavus	$10.55	53%	+346.4%	$47.09
Hitmontop	$9.43	67%	+354.9%	$42.90
Muk	$11.18	67%	+346.5%	$49.92
Moltres EX (Team Plasma)	$9.96	50%	+334.3%	$43.26

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

The Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister (ME04 Chaos Rising 2026) is priced at $21.79 for 3 packs, equating to $7.26 per pack.

The Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is available for $21.90 for 3 packs, translating to $7.30 per pack, reflecting competitive pricing in the sealed product market.

Exact evidence13 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Evidence table — Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] product image

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.79
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.26

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.90
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.30

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) product image

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.62
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.31

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.22
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.61

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.28
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.64

Pitch Black Half Booster Boxes product image

Pitch Black Half Booster BoxesBooster Box / $8.99

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $8.99
Packs: 36
$/Pack: $0.25

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.99
Packs: 6
$/Pack: $2.67

Perfect Order Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $5.81
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $5.81

Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $5.98
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $5.98

Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.59

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.10
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.10

Journey Together Booster Pack product image

Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74

Set: SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.59
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.59

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.78
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.78

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.79
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.79

Exact values for Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Product	Set	Market	Packs	$/Pack
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$21.79	3	$7.26
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$21.90	3	$7.30
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.62	2	$7.31
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.22	2	$7.61
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.28	2	$7.64
Pitch Black Half Booster BoxesBooster Box / $8.99	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$8.99	36	$0.25
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.99	6	$2.67
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$5.81	1	$5.81
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$5.98	1	$5.98
Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.59	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.10	1	$6.10
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74	SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG	$6.59	1	$6.59
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.78	1	$6.78
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.79	1	$6.79

Continue the comparison

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.