BearishQualified moversJul 22, 2026Daily report

Pack Value Plays leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Market state

Among 1,213 qualified market movers, decliners led 855 to 358 with a recorded 7-day direction (70.5%).

Tracked

42,931

Qualified up

358

Qualified down

855

Top move

+53.4%

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

358

qualified movers up

29.5% of qualified movers

855

qualified movers down

70.5% of qualified movers

Based on 1,213 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,718 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

6 fewer cards rose than in the previous report (358 today).
New to the lead coverage: Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] and Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab).
Pack Value Plays is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

Current pricing analysis shows the Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] at $21.75 for 3 packs, equating to $7.25 per pack.

The Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] is priced at $14.62 for 2 packs, resulting in a price of $7.31 per pack.
Additionally, the Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] is available for $22.10 for 3 packs, translating to $7.37 per pack.
In contrast, the Pitch Black Booster Pack (ME05 Pitch Black 2026) is priced at $6.20 for a single pack.

Exact evidence13 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Evidence table — Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] product image

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.75
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.25

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) product image

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.62
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.31

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $22.10
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.37

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.49
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.75

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.69
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.85

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.99
Packs: 6
$/Pack: $2.67

Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $5.61
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $5.61

Perfect Order Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.14
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.14

Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.59

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.20
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.20

Journey Together Booster Pack product image

Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74

Set: SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.31
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.31

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.70
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.70

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.74
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.74

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.04
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.04

Exact values for Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Product	Set	Market	Packs	$/Pack
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$21.75	3	$7.25
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.62	2	$7.31
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$22.10	3	$7.37
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.49	2	$7.75
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.69	2	$7.85
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.99	6	$2.67
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$5.61	1	$5.61
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.14	1	$6.14
Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.59	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.20	1	$6.20
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74	SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG	$6.31	1	$6.31
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.70	1	$6.70
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.74	1	$6.74
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.04	1	$7.04

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot reveals Gengar with a raw price of $8.99 and a PSA 10 price of $749.00, achieving an 83.3x premium from 3 PSA 10 sales.

Mew ex shows a raw price of $9.50 and a PSA 10 price of $472.87, resulting in a 49.8x premium with 183 PSA 10 sales.

Exact evidence6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums

Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums

Gengar

Raw: $8.99
PSA 10: $749.00
Premium: 83.3x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Gengar

Raw: $5.99
PSA 10: $394.99
Premium: 65.9x
PSA 10 Sales: 6

Mew ex

Raw: $9.50
PSA 10: $472.87
Premium: 49.8x
PSA 10 Sales: 183

N's Zekrom

Raw: $11.00
PSA 10: $440.50
Premium: 40.0x
PSA 10 Sales: 21

Larvitar

Raw: $7.82
PSA 10: $261.99
Premium: 33.5x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Whirlipede

Raw: $7.85
PSA 10: $195.00
Premium: 24.9x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Card	Raw	PSA 10	Premium	PSA 10 Sales
Gengar	$8.99	$749.00	83.3x	3
Gengar	$5.99	$394.99	65.9x	6
Mew ex	$9.50	$472.87	49.8x	183
N's Zekrom	$11.00	$440.50	40.0x	21
Larvitar	$7.82	$261.99	33.5x	5
Whirlipede	$7.85	$195.00	24.9x	3

Momentum read

Top Movers

Leading gainers over the past week include Hydrapple ex #156/142 from SV07 Stellar Crown at $3.59, up 53.4%.

Mega Chandelure ex #099/084 from ME05 Pitch Black follows at $9.95, gaining 46.8%.
Morty's Conviction #201/162 from SV05 Temporal Forces has increased to $4.15, marking a 39.2% rise.

Hydrapple ex card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Mega Chandelure ex card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Volume read

Volume Watch

Snorlax (Pokemon GO) has seen a volume spike of 4.0x typical sales with 15 current sales against a typical 4.

This surge indicates heightened collector interest.
Gladion's Final Battle (ME05 Pitch Black) also shows significant activity with 110 sales, 4.2x the typical volume, suggesting increased demand.

Exact evidence6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence

Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence

Snorlax

Set: Pokemon GO2022 Pokemon TCG
Market: $3.17
Price Change: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.0x
Current 7d Sales: 15
Typical 7d Sales: 4

Magikarp

Set: SWSH02 Rebel Clash2020 Pokemon TCG
Market: $18.83
Price Change: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.9x
Current 7d Sales: 10
Typical 7d Sales: 3

Gladion's Final Battle

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $32.95
Price Change: +26.1%
Volume Multiple: 4.2x
Current 7d Sales: 110
Typical 7d Sales: 26

Mega Darkrai ex

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $287.62
Price Change: -5.3%
Volume Multiple: 3.7x
Current 7d Sales: 305
Typical 7d Sales: 82

Bastiodon

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $3.56
Price Change: -20.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.7x
Current 7d Sales: 212
Typical 7d Sales: 57

Gwynn

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $43.68
Price Change: +7.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.1x
Current 7d Sales: 136
Typical 7d Sales: 33

Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
Card	Set	Market	Price Change	Volume Multiple	Current 7d Sales	Typical 7d Sales
Snorlax	Pokemon GO2022 Pokemon TCG	$3.17	0.0%	4.0x	15	4
Magikarp	SWSH02 Rebel Clash2020 Pokemon TCG	$18.83	0.0%	3.9x	10	3
Gladion's Final Battle	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$32.95	+26.1%	4.2x	110	26
Mega Darkrai ex	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$287.62	-5.3%	3.7x	305	82
Bastiodon	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$3.56	-20.0%	3.7x	212	57
Gwynn	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$43.68	+7.9%	4.1x	136	33

Price reset

Notable Declines

Armarouge #086/084 from ME05 Pitch Black has experienced a drastic decline, now priced at $7.41, down 92.6%.

Primarina #088/084 from ME05 Pitch Black also shows a significant drop to $8.05, down 89.9%.
These declines are accompanied by substantial sales volumes, indicating a bearish sentiment.

Armarouge card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Primarina card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Set read

Set Spotlight: Trading Card Game Classic (2023)

The Trading Card Game Classic (2023) set features an average composite score of 24 with 8 cards tracked.

The top card in this set is Pikachu, which has garnered attention for its nostalgic value among collectors.

Featured set profile

Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Year: 2023
Top Card: Pikachu
Cards Tracked: 8
Composite Score: 24.00

Exact evidence1 rowTrading Card Game Classic Evidence

Evidence table — Trading Card Game Classic Evidence

Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG

Year: 2023
Top Card: Pikachu
Cards Tracked: 8
Composite Score: 24.00
Average 7d Change: +3.2%
High Momentum Cards: 0

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME05 Pitch Black (2026) set has underperformed the market average with a 7-day change of -29.8%, significantly below the market average of -1.6%.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -29.8%
Tracked card value: $727.89
Vs market: -28.2%
30d card sales: 6,756

ME04 Chaos Rising2026 set

7d movement: -8.7%
Tracked card value: $593.81
Vs market: -7.1%
30d card sales: 9,593

Set read

Sets in Motion

The strongest estimated tracked-card basket change is seen in the Trading Card Game Classic (2023), with an estimated basket value of $172.02, reflecting a 5.6% increase over 7 days.

Conversely, ME05 Pitch Black (2026) has a basket value of $991.55, experiencing a significant decline of -37.8% over the same period.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -37.8%
Tracked card value: $991.55
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 6,756

ME04 Chaos Rising2026 set

7d movement: -11.6%
Tracked card value: $725.30
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 9,593

Sealed read

Sealed Movers

Sealed-product movement compares the 7-day sales median with the 30-day sales median.

Current prices, medians, and available sales windows are shown in the evidence rows below.

Pitch Black Elite Trainer Box product image — Sealed movers
Current price · 7-day median vs 30-day median · recent sales where available · PokeFocus sealed-product snapshots

Scarlet & Violet Booster Bundle product image — Sealed movers
Current price · 7-day median vs 30-day median · recent sales where available · PokeFocus sealed-product snapshots

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing of Shining Volcanion at $7.13 shows a modeled reference of $73.16, reflecting a 926.1% model gap with 59% confidence.

Mightyena ex is currently priced at $69.88 against a modeled reference of $443.17, showing a 534.2% gap with 50% confidence.

Exact evidence6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference

Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference

Shining Volcanion

Market: $7.13
Confidence: 59%
Model Gap %: +926.1%
Modeled Reference: $73.16

Mightyena ex

Market: $69.88
Confidence: 50%
Model Gap %: +534.2%
Modeled Reference: $443.17

Shining Genesect

Market: $12.87
Confidence: 54%
Model Gap %: +498.5%
Modeled Reference: $77.03

Flaaffy (Secret)

Market: $7.49
Confidence: 50%
Model Gap %: +438.9%
Modeled Reference: $40.36

Muk

Market: $11.18
Confidence: 67%
Model Gap %: +347.0%
Modeled Reference: $49.97

Moltres EX (Team Plasma)

Market: $9.91
Confidence: 51%
Model Gap %: +336.5%
Modeled Reference: $43.26

Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Card	Market	Confidence	Model Gap %	Modeled Reference
Shining Volcanion	$7.13	59%	+926.1%	$73.16
Mightyena ex	$69.88	50%	+534.2%	$443.17
Shining Genesect	$12.87	54%	+498.5%	$77.03
Flaaffy (Secret)	$7.49	50%	+438.9%	$40.36
Muk	$11.18	67%	+347.0%	$49.97
Moltres EX (Team Plasma)	$9.91	51%	+336.5%	$43.26

Continue the comparison

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.