BearishQualified moversJul 20, 2026Daily report

Volume Watch leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Market state

Among 1,193 qualified market movers, decliners led 816 to 377 with a recorded 7-day direction (68.4%).

Tracked

42,914

Qualified up

377

Qualified down

816

Top move

+28.9%

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

377

qualified movers up

31.6% of qualified movers

816

qualified movers down

68.4% of qualified movers

Based on 1,193 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,721 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

11 fewer cards rose than in the previous report (377 today).
New to the lead coverage: Gladion's Final Battle and Mega Darkrai ex.
Volume Watch is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Volume read

Volume Watch

The current 7-day sales data reveals significant volume spikes, particularly with Gladion's Final Battle (ME05 Pitch Black), which has seen 69 sales, a 4.3x increase over its typical baseline of 16.

This surge aligns with an 18.9% price increase.
Similarly, Mega Darkrai ex (ME05 Pitch Black) also recorded a 4.3x increase in sales, reaching 33 units sold, although its price declined by 25.3%.
These contrasting signals indicate a complex demand landscape, where increased volume does not uniformly correlate with price movement.

Exact evidence6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence

Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence

Gladion's Final Battle

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $31.07
Price Change: +18.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x
Current 7d Sales: 69
Typical 7d Sales: 16

Mega Darkrai ex

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $201.25
Price Change: -25.3%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x
Current 7d Sales: 33
Typical 7d Sales: 8

Gengar

Set: SM Crimson Invasion2017 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.60
Price Change: +8.6%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x
Current 7d Sales: 10
Typical 7d Sales: 2

Gwynn

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $39.61
Price Change: -2.1%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x
Current 7d Sales: 85
Typical 7d Sales: 20

Crushing Hammer

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $4.70
Price Change: -64.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.2x
Current 7d Sales: 106
Typical 7d Sales: 25

Silvally

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $5.04
Price Change: +28.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.1x
Current 7d Sales: 196
Typical 7d Sales: 47

Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
Card	Set	Market	Price Change	Volume Multiple	Current 7d Sales	Typical 7d Sales
Gladion's Final Battle	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$31.07	+18.9%	4.3x	69	16
Mega Darkrai ex	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$201.25	-25.3%	4.3x	33	8
Gengar	SM Crimson Invasion2017 Pokemon TCG	$21.60	+8.6%	4.3x	10	2
Gwynn	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$39.61	-2.1%	4.3x	85	20
Crushing Hammer	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$4.70	-64.9%	4.2x	106	25
Silvally	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$5.04	+28.9%	4.1x	196	47

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot shows Mew V selling at a raw price of $5.99 and achieving a PSA 10 price of $158.90, resulting in a premium of 26.5x with 3 PSA 10 sales.

Palpitoad exhibits a raw price of $15.50 and a PSA 10 price of $369.45, yielding a premium of 23.8x with 3 PSA 10 sales.
Other notable premiums include Yveltal ex at 23.7x and Scizor at 23.0x, reflecting consistent collector interest in high-grade cards.

Exact evidence6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums

Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums

Mew V

Raw: $5.99
PSA 10: $158.90
Premium: 26.5x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Palpitoad

Raw: $15.50
PSA 10: $369.45
Premium: 23.8x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Yveltal ex

Raw: $6.99
PSA 10: $165.99
Premium: 23.7x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Snorlax

Raw: $8.99
PSA 10: $210.13
Premium: 23.4x
PSA 10 Sales: 11

Scizor

Raw: $17.06
PSA 10: $392.50
Premium: 23.0x
PSA 10 Sales: 6

Clobbopus

Raw: $7.28
PSA 10: $165.75
Premium: 22.8x
PSA 10 Sales: 8

Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Card	Raw	PSA 10	Premium	PSA 10 Sales
Mew V	$5.99	$158.90	26.5x	3
Palpitoad	$15.50	$369.45	23.8x	3
Yveltal ex	$6.99	$165.99	23.7x	3
Snorlax	$8.99	$210.13	23.4x	11
Scizor	$17.06	$392.50	23.0x	6
Clobbopus	$7.28	$165.75	22.8x	8

Momentum read

Top Movers

Among the top gainers, Silvally #095/084 from ME05 Pitch Black increased to $5.04, marking a 28.9% rise with a composite score of 42.

Dachsbun ex #160/142 from SV07 Stellar Crown also gained traction, now priced at $4.17, up 28.7%.
Mega Charizard X ex #013/094 from ME02 Phantasmal Flames reached $5.15, showing a 24.1% increase, while Mega Chandelure ex #099/084 from ME05 Pitch Black climbed to $8.54, up 26.0%.

Dachsbun ex card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Price reset

Notable Declines

Armarouge #086/084 from ME05 Pitch Black experienced a drastic decline of 93.3%, now priced at $6.74, with a composite score of 25 and 277 sales.

Crushing Hammer #105/084 from ME05 Pitch Black fell by 64.9% to $4.70, while Mega Darkrai ex #101/084 from ME05 Pitch Black dropped 50.9% to $13.88, indicating a sharp pullback in interest for these cards despite previous sales volumes.

Armarouge card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Set read

Set Spotlight: Trading Card Game Classic (2023)

The Trading Card Game Classic (2023) set has shown an average 7-day price change of +3.2% with a composite score of 23.

Despite having 11 cards tracked, none exhibit high momentum, with Pikachu being the standout card in this collection.

Featured set profile

Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Year: 2023
Top Card: Pikachu
Cards Tracked: 11
Composite Score: 23.00

Exact evidence1 rowTrading Card Game Classic Evidence

Evidence table — Trading Card Game Classic Evidence

Trading Card Game Classic2023 Pokemon TCG

Year: 2023
Top Card: Pikachu
Cards Tracked: 11
Composite Score: 23.00
Average 7d Change: +3.2%
High Momentum Cards: 0

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME05 Pitch Black (2026) set underperformed the market with an average 7-day change of -28.5%, significantly below the market average decline of -1.4%.

In contrast, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) showed a lesser decline of -11.1%, indicating a more stable performance relative to the broader market, with a composite score of 26.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -28.5%
Tracked card value: $727.89
Vs market: -27.1%
30d card sales: 5,020

ME04 Chaos Rising2026 set

7d movement: -11.1%
Tracked card value: $593.81
Vs market: -9.7%
30d card sales: 9,746

Set read

Sets in Motion

The estimated tracked-card basket value for ME05 Pitch Black (2026) stands at $962.13, reflecting a substantial 37.8% decrease over the past week with 5,020 card sales.

Meanwhile, ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) has a basket value of $699.66, down 15.4% with 9,746 sales, showcasing a more resilient performance in comparison.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -37.8%
Tracked card value: $962.13
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 5,020

ME04 Chaos Rising2026 set

7d movement: -15.4%
Tracked card value: $699.66
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 9,746

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing for Shining Volcanion at $7.13 shows a modeled reference gap of 921.9% with a confidence level of 58%.

Shining Genesect at $12.95 has a modeled reference gap of 492.9% at a 51% confidence level.
These significant discrepancies indicate potential areas of interest for collectors examining market valuations.

Exact evidence6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference

Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference

Shining Volcanion

Market: $7.13
Confidence: 58%
Model Gap %: +921.9%
Modeled Reference: $72.86

Shining Genesect

Market: $12.95
Confidence: 51%
Model Gap %: +492.9%
Modeled Reference: $76.78

Flaaffy (Secret)

Market: $7.49
Confidence: 51%
Model Gap %: +439.3%
Modeled Reference: $40.39

Moltres EX (Team Plasma)

Market: $9.87
Confidence: 53%
Model Gap %: +338.2%
Modeled Reference: $43.25

Muk

Market: $11.18
Confidence: 67%
Model Gap %: +345.0%
Modeled Reference: $49.75

Electabuzz (Movie Promo)

Market: $12.10
Confidence: 65%
Model Gap %: +289.4%
Modeled Reference: $47.12

Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Card	Market	Confidence	Model Gap %	Modeled Reference
Shining Volcanion	$7.13	58%	+921.9%	$72.86
Shining Genesect	$12.95	51%	+492.9%	$76.78
Flaaffy (Secret)	$7.49	51%	+439.3%	$40.39
Moltres EX (Team Plasma)	$9.87	53%	+338.2%	$43.25
Muk	$11.18	67%	+345.0%	$49.75
Electabuzz (Movie Promo)	$12.10	65%	+289.4%	$47.12

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

The sealed product price-per-pack comparison reveals the Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] priced at $21.47 for 3 packs, equating to $7.16 per pack.

The Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] is available for $14.62 for 2 packs, resulting in $7.31 per pack, while the Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] costs $22.11 for 3 packs, or $7.37 per pack.

Exact evidence13 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Evidence table — Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] product image

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.47
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.16

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) product image

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.62
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.31

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $22.11
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.37

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.49
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.75

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $16.41
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $8.21

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.99
Packs: 6
$/Pack: $2.67

Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.02
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.02

Perfect Order Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.14
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.14

Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.59

Set: ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.22
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.22

Journey Together Booster Pack product image

Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74

Set: SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.63
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.63

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.79
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.79

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.81
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.81

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.93
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.93

Exact values for Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Product	Set	Market	Packs	$/Pack
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$21.47	3	$7.16
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.62	2	$7.31
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$22.11	3	$7.37
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.49	2	$7.75
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$16.41	2	$8.21
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.99	6	$2.67
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.02	1	$6.02
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.14	1	$6.14
Pitch Black Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.59	ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.22	1	$6.22
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74	SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG	$6.63	1	$6.63
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.79	1	$6.79
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.81	1	$6.81
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.93	1	$6.93

Continue the comparison

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.