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BearishQualified moversJul 17, 2026Daily report

Stunfisk Commands 79.1x Premium as Grading Trends Shift

Today's report uncovers significant grading premiums and sales activity, highlighting the evolving dynamics in the market.

Market state

Among 1,180 qualified market movers, decliners led 723 to 457 with a recorded 7-day direction (61.3%).

Tracked

42,886

Qualified up

457

Qualified down

723

Top move

+45.6%

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

457

qualified movers up

38.7% of qualified movers

723

qualified movers down

61.3% of qualified movers

Based on 1,180 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,706 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

  • 5 fewer cards rose than in the previous report (457 today).
  • New to the lead coverage: Stunfisk and Charizard ex.
  • Grading Watch is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Grading read

Grading Watch

The current snapshot of PSA 10 premiums reveals notable discrepancies, with Stunfisk commanding a raw price of $6.32 and a PSA 10 price of $499.99, resulting in a premium multiple of 79.1x, supported by 3 PSA 10 sales.

  • Charizard ex shows a raw price of $6.39 and a PSA 10 price of $197.22, yielding a premium of 30.8x from 6 PSA 10 sales.
  • Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) has a raw price of $8.23 and a PSA 10 price of $261.73, translating to a premium of 31.8x with 4 PSA 10 sales.
  • Alakazam ex maintains a raw price of $8.25 against a PSA 10 price of $249.99, reflecting a premium of 30.3x from 3 sales.

The data indicates strong sales volume supporting these premiums, particularly for Stunfisk, which demonstrates robust collector interest.

Exact evidence6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums
Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$6.32
PSA 10
$499.99
Premium
79.1x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$6.40
PSA 10
$197.22
Premium
30.8x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Raw
$8.23
PSA 10
$261.73
Premium
31.8x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$8.25
PSA 10
$249.99
Premium
30.3x
PSA 10 Sales
3
Raw
$5.91
PSA 10
$156.84
Premium
26.5x
PSA 10 Sales
7
Raw
$9.00
PSA 10
$216.99
Premium
24.1x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
CardRawPSA 10PremiumPSA 10 Sales
Stunfisk card image
Stunfisk
$6.32$499.9979.1x3
Charizard ex card image
Charizard ex
$6.40$197.2230.8x6
Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60) card image
Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60)
$8.23$261.7331.8x4
Alakazam ex card image
Alakazam ex
$8.25$249.9930.3x3
Smeargle card image
Smeargle
$5.91$156.8426.5x7
Milotic card image
Milotic
$9.00$216.9924.1x6

Momentum read

Top Movers

Chandelure #TG04/TG30 from SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery surged to $4.84, marking a 45.6% increase with a composite score of 43 and 30-day sales of 43.

  • Victini (Master Ball Pattern) #012/086 from SV Black Bolt rose to $58.88, up 41.7%, with a PSA 10 value of $250.00.
  • Cleffa #150/091 from SV Paldean Fates climbed to $10.20, reflecting a 40.4% gain, supported by 77 sales.
  • Morty's Conviction #201/162 from SV05 Temporal Forces increased to $3.91, up 39.2%, with 9 sales.

Basic Fire Energy #230/197 from SV03 Obsidian Flames reached $4.07, a 24.8% rise, with 21 sales.

Recent price movement

Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

  1. Chandelure card image
    Market
    $4.84
    7d move
    +45.6%
    Sales
    3 / 27
    7d / 30d
  2. Victini (Master Ball Pattern) card image
    Market
    $58.88
    7d move
    +41.7%
    Sales
    4 / 15
    7d / 30d
  3. Cleffa card image
    Market
    $10.20
    7d move
    +40.4%
    Sales
    4 / 22
    7d / 30d
  4. Morty's Conviction card image
    Market
    $3.91
    7d move
    +39.2%
    Sales
    2 / 8
    7d / 30d
  5. Basic Fire Energy card image
    Market
    $4.07
    7d move
    +24.8%
    Sales
    5 / 29
    7d / 30d
  6. Jacinthe card image
    Market
    $3.46
    7d move
    +20.4%
    Sales
    23 / 92
    7d / 30d

Volume read

Volume Watch

Several cards are experiencing significant sales volume spikes, notably Alakazam (Base Set) with 10 sales, 4.3x its typical volume, despite a price decline of 10.6%.

  • Charizard (XY Evolutions) also saw 13 sales, 4.3x its usual, with a minor price decrease of 2.4%.
  • Gwynn (ME05 Pitch Black) and Rampardos ex (ME05 Pitch Black) each recorded 13 and 12 sales, respectively, at 4.3x typical volume, maintaining stable prices.
  • This surge in activity indicates heightened collector interest, though price adjustments vary.
Exact evidence6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence
Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence
Market
$86.56
Price Change
-10.6%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
10
Typical 7d Sales
2
Market
$102.53
Price Change
-2.4%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
13
Typical 7d Sales
3
Market
$79.60
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
13
Typical 7d Sales
3
Market
$5.85
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
12
Typical 7d Sales
3
Market
$44.70
Price Change
-100.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
10
Typical 7d Sales
2
Market
$6.32
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
23
Typical 7d Sales
5
Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
CardSetMarketPrice ChangeVolume MultipleCurrent 7d SalesTypical 7d Sales
Alakazam card image
Alakazam
Base Set set image
Base Set1999 Pokemon TCG
$86.56-10.6%4.3x102
Charizard card image
Charizard
XY Evolutions set image
XY Evolutions2016 Pokemon TCG
$102.53-2.4%4.3x133
Gwynn card image
Gwynn
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$79.600.0%4.3x133
Rampardos ex card image
Rampardos ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.850.0%4.3x123
All-Night Party card image
All-Night Party
XY BREAKpoint set image
XY BREAKpoint2016 Pokemon TCG
$44.70-100.0%4.3x102
Energy Switch card image
Energy Switch
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.320.0%4.3x235

Price reset

Notable Declines

Armarouge #086/084 from ME05 Pitch Black fell to $10.59, down 64.9%, with a composite score of 33 and 96 sales indicating a significant pullback.

  • Mega Chandelure ex #099/084 from ME05 Pitch Black dropped to $16.19, a 56.7% decline, supported by 38 sales.
  • Lurantis ex #096/084 from ME05 Pitch Black decreased to $6.28, down 37.6%, from 16 sales.
  • Primarina #088/084 from ME05 Pitch Black and Mega Darkrai ex #101/084 from ME05 Pitch Black also saw declines of 33.5% and 33.4%, respectively, with sales volumes of 108 and 44.

Recent price movement

Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

  1. Armarouge card image
    Market
    $10.59
    7d move
    -64.9%
    Sales
    59 / 158
    7d / 30d
  2. Mega Chandelure ex card image
    Market
    $16.19
    7d move
    -56.7%
    Sales
    39 / 142
    7d / 30d
  3. Lurantis ex card image
    Market
    $6.28
    7d move
    -37.6%
    Sales
    39 / 144
    7d / 30d
  4. Primarina card image
    Market
    $15.86
    7d move
    -33.5%
    Sales
    37 / 151
    7d / 30d
  5. Mega Darkrai ex card image
    Market
    $22.44
    7d move
    -33.4%
    Sales
    36 / 148
    7d / 30d
  6. Toucannon card image
    Market
    $6.13
    7d move
    -33.4%
    Sales
    40 / 177
    7d / 30d

Set read

Set Spotlight: Prize Pack Series Cards (2022)

The Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) feature an average 7-day price change of +1.8% and an average composite score of 25.

  • Among the 50 cards tracked, only one exhibits high momentum, with Jolteon V standing out as the top card.
  • The set's performance reflects a steady interest despite broader market declines.

Featured set profile

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Year
2022
Top Card
Jolteon V
Cards Tracked
50
Composite Score
25.00
Exact evidence1 rowPrize Pack Series Cards Evidence
Evidence table — Prize Pack Series Cards Evidence
Year
2022
Top Card
Jolteon V
Cards Tracked
50
Composite Score
25.00
Average 7d Change
+1.8%
High Momentum Cards
1
Exact values for Prize Pack Series Cards Evidence
SetYearTop CardCards TrackedComposite ScoreAverage 7d ChangeHigh Momentum Cards
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
2022Jolteon V5025.00+1.8%1

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The SV Scarlet and Violet 151 (2023) set underperformed the market average with a 7-day change of -5.2%, 4.6% below the market average of -0.6%, and a 30-day decline of 9.4%.

  • ME03 Perfect Order (2026) also lagged, showing a 7-day change of -3.3% and a 30-day decline of 14.1%, underperforming the market by 2.7%.
  • In contrast, the overall market average shows a slight downturn, indicating a broader bearish sentiment.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Set read

Sets in Motion

The estimated tracked-card basket value for the Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) is $6,121.91, reflecting a 1% increase over the past 7 days with 8,499 card sales.

  • In comparison, the SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022) set shows an estimated basket value of $427.13, up 1.7% with 405 card sales, indicating solid performance relative to its sales volume.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Nemona is currently priced at $6.64, with a modeled reference of $63.81, indicating an 861.0% model gap at 75% confidence.

  • Arven is priced at $10.41 against a modeled reference of $66.06, reflecting a 534.6% model gap, also at 75% confidence.
  • Marill shows a current price of $7.28 with a modeled reference of $40.46, indicating a 455.8% model gap at 51% confidence.
Exact evidence6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference
Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Market
$6.64
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+861.0%
Modeled Reference
$63.81
Market
$10.41
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+534.6%
Modeled Reference
$66.06
Market
$7.28
Confidence
51%
Model Gap %
+455.8%
Modeled Reference
$40.46
Market
$9.77
Confidence
65%
Model Gap %
+324.0%
Modeled Reference
$41.42
Market
$15.36
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+267.3%
Modeled Reference
$56.41
Market
$17.36
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+285.0%
Modeled Reference
$66.84
Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
CardMarketConfidenceModel Gap %Modeled Reference
Nemona card image
Nemona
$6.6475%+861.0%$63.81
Arven card image
Arven
$10.4175%+534.6%$66.06
Marill card image
Marill
$7.2851%+455.8%$40.46
Mew (8) card image
Mew (8)
$9.7765%+324.0%$41.42
Amarys card image
Amarys
$15.3675%+267.3%$56.41
Mega Lopunny ex card image
Mega Lopunny ex
$17.3675%+285.0%$66.84

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

The Surging Sparks Booster Pack (SV08 Surging Sparks 2024) is priced at $7.75 for 1 pack, while the Lumiose City Mini Tin [Salamence & Litleo] costs $15.64 for 2 packs, equating to $7.82 per pack.

  • The Perfect Order Booster Pack (ME03 Perfect Order 2026) is available at $5.84 for 1 pack, and the Chaos Rising Booster Pack (ME04 Chaos Rising 2026) is priced at $6.25 for 1 pack.
Exact evidence20 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Evidence table — Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Exact values for Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
ProductSetMarketPacks$/Pack
Surging Sparks Booster Pack product image
Surging Sparks Booster PackBooster Pack / $7.90
SV08 Surging Sparks set image
SV08 Surging Sparks2024 Pokemon TCG
$7.751$7.75
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Salamence & Litleo] product image
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Salamence & Litleo]Tin / $13.76
Miscellaneous Cards and Products set image
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$15.642$7.82
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Gallade & Goomy] product image
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Gallade & Goomy]Tin / $13.97
Miscellaneous Cards and Products set image
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$15.652$7.83
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Meganium & Meowstic] product image
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Meganium & Meowstic]Tin / $14.70
Miscellaneous Cards and Products set image
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$16.282$8.14
Perfect Order Single Pack Blister [Makuhita] product image
Perfect Order Single Pack Blister [Makuhita]Blister Pack / $7.75
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$8.221$8.22
Mega Evolution Booster Pack product image
Mega Evolution Booster PackBooster Pack / $8.53
ME01 Mega Evolution set image
ME01 Mega Evolution2025 Pokemon TCG
$8.351$8.35
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Archaludon] (3-tab) product image
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Archaludon] (3-tab)Blister Pack / $17.57
Miscellaneous Cards and Products set image
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$17.002$8.50
McDonald's 25th Anniversary Booster Pack product image
McDonald's 25th Anniversary Booster PackBooster Pack / $8.96
McDonalds 25th Anniversary Promos set image
McDonalds 25th Anniversary Promos2021 Pokemon TCG
$8.601$8.60
Journey Together Sleeved Booster Pack product image
Journey Together Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $9.15
SV09 Journey Together set image
SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
$8.701$8.70
Battle Styles Booster Pack product image
Battle Styles Booster PackBooster Pack / $9.46
SWSH05 Battle Styles set image
SWSH05 Battle Styles2021 Pokemon TCG
$8.751$8.75
Paradox Rift Booster Pack product image
Paradox Rift Booster PackBooster Pack / $8.41
SV04 Paradox Rift set image
SV04 Paradox Rift2023 Pokemon TCG
$8.811$8.81
Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister [Sinistea] product image
Paradox Rift Single Pack Blister [Sinistea]Blister Pack / $10.78
SV04 Paradox Rift set image
SV04 Paradox Rift2023 Pokemon TCG
$8.981$8.98
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99
Miscellaneous Cards and Products set image
Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
$15.996$2.67
Perfect Order Booster Pack product image
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.08
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$5.841$5.84
Chaos Rising Booster Pack product image
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.23
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.251$6.25
Journey Together Booster Pack product image
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.73
SV09 Journey Together set image
SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
$6.471$6.47
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.711$6.71
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack product image
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.861$6.86
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack product image
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98
ME04 Chaos Rising set image
ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
$6.861$6.86
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94
ME03 Perfect Order set image
ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
$21.863$7.29

Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.