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BearishQualified moversJul 16, 2026Daily report

Market Pullbacks leads today's Market Pulse

The primary section leads a full evidence-backed report across cards, sets, grading, sales volume, modeled prices, and sealed products.

Market state

Among 1,184 qualified market movers, decliners led 722 to 462 with a recorded 7-day direction (61.0%).

Tracked

42,882

Qualified up

462

Qualified down

722

Top move

+32.3%

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

462

qualified movers up

39.0% of qualified movers

722

qualified movers down

61.0% of qualified movers

Based on 1,184 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,698 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

  • 4 more cards rose than in the previous report (462 today).
  • New to the lead coverage: Roxie's Performance and Greninja ex.
  • Notable Declines is today's primary read; every available core market domain is covered with non-duplicative evidence.

Price reset

Notable Declines

The market is experiencing notable declines, with Hero's Cape #152/162 from SV05 Temporal Forces down 28.4% to $18.23, supported by a low sales volume of just 19 units over the past 30 days.

  • Roxie's Performance #112/086 from ME04 Chaos Rising has also seen a significant drop of 33.7%, now priced at $3.02, with a total of 137 sales indicating weakening demand.

Recent price movement

Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

  1. Roxie's Performance card image
    Market
    $3.02
    7d move
    -33.7%
    Sales
    18 / 115
    7d / 30d
  2. Greninja ex card image
    Market
    $4.93
    7d move
    -29.8%
    Sales
    2 / 7
    7d / 30d
  3. Hero's Cape card image
    Market
    $18.23
    7d move
    -28.4%
    Sales
    15 / 70
    7d / 30d
  4. Mega Floette ex card image
    Market
    $32.91
    7d move
    -27.7%
    Sales
    26 / 108
    7d / 30d
  5. Altaria card image
    Market
    $6.51
    7d move
    -27.7%
    Sales
    19 / 63
    7d / 30d
  6. Team Rocket's Dugtrio card image
    Market
    $10.19
    7d move
    -26.9%
    Sales
    19 / 96
    7d / 30d

Grading read

Grading Watch

The 30-day PSA 10 premium snapshot reveals significant premiums for several cards: Gardevoir, with a raw price of $9.32, commands a PSA 10 price of $287.31, resulting in a 30.8x premium from 4 sales.

  • Similarly, Manaphy's raw price of $7.20 translates to a PSA 10 value of $206.18, reflecting a 28.6x premium from 4 sales.
  • Other notable premiums include Pikachu at 28.5x and Ditto at 28.1x, indicating strong collector interest in high-grade cards despite the overall market decline.
Exact evidence6 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums
Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Raw
$9.32
PSA 10
$287.31
Premium
30.8x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$7.20
PSA 10
$206.18
Premium
28.6x
PSA 10 Sales
4
Raw
$7.89
PSA 10
$225.00
Premium
28.5x
PSA 10 Sales
10
Raw
$59.18
PSA 10
$1,684.98
Premium
28.5x
PSA 10 Sales
15
Raw
$20.32
PSA 10
$570.20
Premium
28.1x
PSA 10 Sales
10
Raw
$14.57
PSA 10
$357.38
Premium
24.5x
PSA 10 Sales
6
Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
CardRawPSA 10PremiumPSA 10 Sales
Gardevoir card image
Gardevoir
$9.32$287.3130.8x4
Manaphy card image
Manaphy
$7.20$206.1828.6x4
Pikachu card image
Pikachu
$7.89$225.0028.5x10
Haunter card image
Haunter
$59.18$1,684.9828.5x15
Ditto card image
Ditto
$20.32$570.2028.1x10
Xerneas card image
Xerneas
$14.57$357.3824.5x6

Momentum read

Top Movers

Among the top gainers, Buddy-Buddy Poffin #167/132 from ME01 Mega Evolution leads with a price increase of 32.3%, now valued at $5.95, supported by 142 sales over the past 30 days.

  • Dachsbun ex #160/142 from SV07 Stellar Crown follows closely, rising 28.7% to $4.42, while Mega Gardevoir ex #159/132 from ME01 Mega Evolution has increased by 27.0% to $5.31, indicating a selective interest in specific cards despite the overall market downturn.

Recent price movement

Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

  1. Buddy-Buddy Poffin card image
    Market
    $5.95
    7d move
    +32.3%
    Sales
    7 / 24
    7d / 30d
  2. Dachsbun ex card image
    Market
    $4.42
    7d move
    +28.7%
    Sales
    5 / 22
    7d / 30d
  3. Mega Gardevoir ex card image
    Market
    $5.31
    7d move
    +27.0%
    Sales
    10 / 33
    7d / 30d
  4. Relicanth card image
    Market
    $11.80
    7d move
    +23.8%
    Sales
    4 / 19
    7d / 30d
  5. Cyrano card image
    Market
    $3.04
    7d move
    +20.8%
    Sales
    14 / 29
    7d / 30d
  6. Larry's Staraptor card image
    Market
    $4.85
    7d move
    +22.9%
    Sales
    14 / 59
    7d / 30d

Volume read

Volume Watch

Morpeko ex (ME05 Pitch Black) has seen a significant volume spike, achieving 4.3 times its typical sales with 48 units sold compared to an average of 11.

  • This unusual activity, despite a slight price decrease of 2.2%, suggests renewed interest and potential demand shifts for this card.
  • Other cards from the same set, including Mega Zeraora ex and Silvally, also exhibited similar volume increases, indicating a broader trend within the ME05 Pitch Black set.
Exact evidence6 rowsVolume Spike Evidence
Evidence table — Volume Spike Evidence
Market
$164.69
Price Change
-2.2%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
48
Typical 7d Sales
11
Market
$160.67
Price Change
+4.2%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
26
Typical 7d Sales
6
Market
$15.48
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
13
Typical 7d Sales
3
Market
$11.08
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
26
Typical 7d Sales
6
Market
$9.51
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
22
Typical 7d Sales
5
Market
$11.80
Price Change
0.0%
Volume Multiple
4.3x
Current 7d Sales
44
Typical 7d Sales
10
Exact values for Volume Spike Evidence
CardSetMarketPrice ChangeVolume MultipleCurrent 7d SalesTypical 7d Sales
Morpeko ex card image
Morpeko ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$164.69-2.2%4.3x4811
Mega Zeraora ex card image
Mega Zeraora ex
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$160.67+4.2%4.3x266
Crushing Hammer card image
Crushing Hammer
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$15.480.0%4.3x133
Silvally card image
Silvally
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$11.080.0%4.3x266
Brave Bangle card image
Brave Bangle
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$9.510.0%4.3x225
Manectric card image
Manectric
ME05 Pitch Black set image
ME05 Pitch Black2026 Pokemon TCG
$11.800.0%4.3x4410

Set read

Set Spotlight: Prize Pack Series Cards (2022)

The Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) set features an average 7-day price change of +2.0% and an average composite score of 25.

  • With 51 cards tracked and only one exhibiting high momentum, the standout card remains Jolteon V, which has garnered attention amidst a generally bearish market.

Featured set profile

Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Year
2022
Top Card
Jolteon V
Cards Tracked
51
Composite Score
25.00
Exact evidence1 rowPrize Pack Series Cards Evidence
Evidence table — Prize Pack Series Cards Evidence
Year
2022
Top Card
Jolteon V
Cards Tracked
51
Composite Score
25.00
Average 7d Change
+2.0%
High Momentum Cards
1
Exact values for Prize Pack Series Cards Evidence
SetYearTop CardCards TrackedComposite ScoreAverage 7d ChangeHigh Momentum Cards
Prize Pack Series Cards set image
Prize Pack Series Cards2022 Pokemon TCG
2022Jolteon V5125.00+2.0%1

Sector read

Set Comparisons

The ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) set has underperformed the market average with a 7-day change of -10.3%, which is 9.8% below the market average decline of -0.5%.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Set read

Sets in Motion

The estimated tracked-card basket value for ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) is $731.81, reflecting a significant 15.2% decrease over the past 7 days, with 10,869 card sales indicating a lack of buyer support.

  • Conversely, the Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) set has an estimated basket value of $6,150.99, with a modest increase of 1.1% and 8,706 sales, highlighting its relative strength in the current market.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Current pricing for Muk at $11.11 shows a significant modeled reference gap of 352.3% against a reference price of $50.25, with a 67% confidence level.

  • Penny, priced at $17.57, has a modeled reference gap of 318.4%, with a 75% confidence level, indicating substantial discrepancies between current market prices and modeled valuations.
Exact evidence6 rowsCurrent Price vs Modeled Reference
Evidence table — Current Price vs Modeled Reference
Market
$11.11
Confidence
67%
Model Gap %
+352.3%
Modeled Reference
$50.25
Market
$17.57
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+318.4%
Modeled Reference
$73.51
Market
$5.66
Confidence
57%
Model Gap %
+288.0%
Modeled Reference
$21.96
Market
$5.70
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+263.2%
Modeled Reference
$20.70
Market
$6.43
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+258.9%
Modeled Reference
$23.08
Market
$8.08
Confidence
75%
Model Gap %
+258.0%
Modeled Reference
$28.93
Exact values for Current Price vs Modeled Reference
CardMarketConfidenceModel Gap %Modeled Reference
Muk card image
Muk
$11.1167%+352.3%$50.25
Penny card image
Penny
$17.5775%+318.4%$73.51
Sylveon V card image
Sylveon V
$5.6657%+288.0%$21.96
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR card image
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR
$5.7075%+263.2%$20.70
Zamazenta V card image
Zamazenta V
$6.4375%+258.9%$23.08
Drayton card image
Drayton
$8.0875%+258.0%$28.93

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

Sealed product price-per-pack comparisons reveal several options: Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] at $14.62 for 2 packs ($7.31/pack), Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] at $22.29 for 3 packs ($7.43/pack), and Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle at $15.99 for 6 packs ($2.67/pack), providing various price points for collectors.

Exact evidence12 rowsPrice per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison
Evidence table — Price per Pack — Sealed Product Comparison

Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.