BearishQualified moversJul 12, 2026Daily report

Market Reset: Armarouge falls 64.9% Amid Bearish Sentiment

Today's report highlights significant pullbacks in the Pokémon card market, with notable resets in card values indicating tracking context.

Market state

Among 1,109 qualified market movers, decliners led 676 to 433 with a recorded 7-day direction (61.0%).

Tracked

42,783

Qualified up

433

Qualified down

676

Top move

+59.1%

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

433

qualified movers up

39.0% of qualified movers

676

qualified movers down

61.0% of qualified movers

Based on 1,109 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,674 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

This report covers 1,109 qualified movers: 433 rose and 676 declined. The remaining 41,674 of 42,783 tracked cards are outside this directional view.
Notable Declines is the primary evidence in this report.
8 evidence sections pair each report read with a measured visual and inspectable exact values.

Price reset

Notable Declines

Armarouge #086/084 from ME05 Pitch Black faced a drastic decline of 64.9%, now priced at $35.12, indicating a significant reset.

Primarina #088/084 from ME05 Pitch Black also dropped 33.5% to $53.23, while Mega Floette ex #117/086 from ME04 Chaos Rising fell 27.7% to $32.23.
These declines suggest a potential reevaluation of these cards' market positions, making them candidates for closer scrutiny.

Armarouge card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Primarina card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Grading read

Grading Watch

Notable PSA 10 premiums are evident, with Braviary showing a remarkable 28.3x premium, priced at $255.00 compared to a raw price of $9.00.

Dedenne follows with a 26.1x premium at $195.00 from a raw price of $7.47, highlighting the value potential in graded cards.

Exact evidence10 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums

Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums

Braviary

Raw: $9.00
PSA 10: $255.00
Premium: 28.3x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Dedenne

Raw: $7.48
PSA 10: $195.00
Premium: 26.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Mew V

Raw: $6.37
PSA 10: $135.34
Premium: 21.2x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Magnezone

Raw: $6.22
PSA 10: $131.22
Premium: 21.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Jolteon

Raw: $18.91
PSA 10: $396.60
Premium: 21.0x
PSA 10 Sales: 4

Riolu

Raw: $11.91
PSA 10: $239.96
Premium: 20.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 14

Noibat

Raw: $5.99
PSA 10: $120.50
Premium: 20.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 6

Charizard

Raw: $5.01
PSA 10: $100.72
Premium: 20.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Latias

Raw: $20.42
PSA 10: $406.45
Premium: 19.9x
PSA 10 Sales: 10

Paras

Raw: $10.00
PSA 10: $198.95
Premium: 19.9x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Card	Raw	PSA 10	Premium	PSA 10 Sales
Braviary	$9.00	$255.00	28.3x	3
Dedenne	$7.48	$195.00	26.1x	3
Mew V	$6.37	$135.34	21.2x	5
Magnezone	$6.22	$131.22	21.1x	3
Jolteon	$18.91	$396.60	21.0x	4
Riolu	$11.91	$239.96	20.1x	14
Noibat	$5.99	$120.50	20.1x	6
Charizard	$5.01	$100.72	20.1x	5
Latias	$20.42	$406.45	19.9x	10
Paras	$10.00	$198.95	19.9x	3

Momentum read

Top Movers

Legacy Energy #167/167 from SV06 Twilight Masquerade surged to $3.70, a remarkable increase of 59.1%, while Hydrapple ex #156/142 from SV07 Stellar Crown rose to $5.60, up 53.4%.

Chandelure #TG04/TG30 from SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery gained 45.6%, reaching $4.60.
Other notable gainers include Shiinotic #194/191 from SV08 Surging Sparks at $3.76, up 36.4%, and Leafeon ex #006/131 from SV Prismatic Evolutions at $4.72, up 36.2%.

Legacy Energy card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Hydrapple ex card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Volume read

Volume Watch

Unusual volume spikes were observed for several cards, indicating shifting demand dynamics.

Notably, Vileplume (Southern Islands) experienced a 3.9x volume increase with a price rise of 2.5%.
Conversely, Misty's Vitality (ME05 Pitch Black) saw a 4.3x volume spike but a price decline of 15.6%, suggesting a potential cooling of interest despite increased trading activity.

Exact evidence10 rowsVolume Watch measured evidence

Evidence table — Volume Watch measured evidence

Vileplume

Market: $92.24
7d Move: +2.5%
Volume Multiple: 3.9x

Misty's Vitality

Market: $63.33
7d Move: -15.6%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Primarina

Market: $53.23
7d Move: -33.5%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Hilda

Market: $3.12
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)

Market: $2,336.54
7d Move: +130.8%
Volume Multiple: 3.6x

Mew (Prime)

Market: $309.04
7d Move: +65.6%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Dhelmise

Market: $21.66
7d Move: -13.3%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Mega Delphox ex

Market: $3.27
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Armarouge

Market: $35.12
7d Move: -64.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Mega Darkrai ex

Market: $10.97
7d Move: -26.8%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Exact values for Volume Watch measured evidence
Card	Market	7d Move	Volume Multiple
Vileplume	$92.24	+2.5%	3.9x
Misty's Vitality	$63.33	-15.6%	4.3x
Primarina	$53.23	-33.5%	4.3x
Hilda	$3.12	0.0%	4.3x
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)	$2,336.54	+130.8%	3.6x
Mew (Prime)	$309.04	+65.6%	4.3x
Dhelmise	$21.66	-13.3%	4.3x
Mega Delphox ex	$3.27	0.0%	4.3x
Armarouge	$35.12	-64.9%	4.3x
Mega Darkrai ex	$10.97	-26.8%	4.3x

Set read

Set Spotlight: ME05 Pitch Black

ME05 Pitch Black continues to struggle with a composite score of 18 and a 30-day decline of 4.6%.

Despite its top gainer, Slowbro, increasing by 21.6%, the overall set value plummeted to $506.81, indicating a lack of sustained interest.

Jolteon V card image — Featured set profile
Jolteon V
Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Exact evidence1 rowSet Spotlight: ME05 Pitch Black measured evidence

Evidence table — Set Spotlight: ME05 Pitch Black measured evidence

Jolteon V

Market: $39.11
7d Move: +1.7%

Set read

Sets in Motion

The overall market average saw a 7-day change of -0.6%, with ME05 Pitch Black underperforming at -16.1%.

In contrast, Prize Pack Series Cards (2022) showed resilience with a total set value of $7,222.85, reflecting a 1% increase.
The stark contrast between set performances highlights the volatility within specific collections, with ME05 Pitch Black experiencing only 203 card sales.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -19.8%
Tracked card value: $506.81
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 203

ME04 Chaos Rising2026 set

7d movement: -14.6%
Tracked card value: $747.45
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 11,496

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Several cards are currently priced below their calculated fair value, presenting strong model gap potential.

Nemona at $7.14 has a fair value of $64.75, indicating an model gap of 806.9% with a STRONG_BUY signal and 77% confidence.
Arven at $10.25 shows a fair value of $66.92, representing a 552.9% model gap, also with a STRONG_BUY signal.

Exact evidence10 rowsbelow the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis

Evidence table — below the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis

Nemona

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $7.14
Fair Value: $64.75
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +806.9%

Arven

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $10.25
Fair Value: $66.92
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +552.9%

Muk

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $10.29
Fair Value: $49.39
Confidence: 67%
model gap %: +380.0%

Sylveon V

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $5.60
Fair Value: $21.90
Confidence: 52%
model gap %: +291.1%

Zamazenta V

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $5.59
Fair Value: $22.82
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +308.2%

Penny

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $17.66
Fair Value: $74.33
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +320.9%

Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $5.73
Fair Value: $20.70
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +261.3%

Raikou V

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $6.67
Fair Value: $23.19
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +247.7%

Rotom ex

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $18.06
Fair Value: $67.98
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +276.4%

Drayton

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $16.83
Fair Value: $57.58
Confidence: 77%
model gap %: +242.1%

Exact values for below the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis
Card	Signal	Market	Fair Value	Confidence	model gap %
Nemona	STRONG BUY	$7.14	$64.75	77%	+806.9%
Arven	STRONG BUY	$10.25	$66.92	77%	+552.9%
Muk	STRONG BUY	$10.29	$49.39	67%	+380.0%
Sylveon V	STRONG BUY	$5.60	$21.90	52%	+291.1%
Zamazenta V	STRONG BUY	$5.59	$22.82	77%	+308.2%
Penny	STRONG BUY	$17.66	$74.33	77%	+320.9%
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR	STRONG BUY	$5.73	$20.70	77%	+261.3%
Raikou V	STRONG BUY	$6.67	$23.19	77%	+247.7%
Rotom ex	STRONG BUY	$18.06	$67.98	77%	+276.4%
Drayton	STRONG BUY	$16.83	$57.58	77%	+242.1%

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

Pack-per-dollar plays focus on standard sealed Pokemon TCG products, with seasonal mini-pack products removed from the comparison.

Exact evidence12 rowsBest Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison

Evidence table — Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.99
Packs: 6
$/Pack: $2.67

Perfect Order Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.08

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.09
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.09

Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.23

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.41
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.41

Journey Together Booster Pack product image

Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.73

Set: SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.88
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.88

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.99
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.99

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.19
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.06

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.28
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.28

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.29
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.29

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] product image

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $22.03
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.34

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) product image

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.70
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.35

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.59
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.80

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.70
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.85

Exact values for Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison
Product	Set	Market	Packs	$/Pack
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.99	6	$2.67
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.08	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.09	1	$6.09
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.23	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.41	1	$6.41
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.73	SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG	$6.88	1	$6.88
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.99	1	$6.99
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$21.19	3	$7.06
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.28	1	$7.28
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.29	1	$7.29
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$22.03	3	$7.34
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.70	2	$7.35
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.59	2	$7.80
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.70	2	$7.85

Continue the comparison

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.