NeutralQualified moversJul 10, 2026Daily report

Neutral Pokemon TCG Market Pulse: Grading Watch

This report covers 1,064 qualified movers: 446 rose and 618 declined. The remaining 41,657 of 42,721 tracked cards are outside this directional view.

Market state

Among 1,064 qualified market movers, decliners led 618 to 446 with a recorded 7-day direction (58.1%).

Tracked

42,721

Qualified up

446

Qualified down

618

Top move

+49.5%

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

446

qualified movers up

41.9% of qualified movers

618

qualified movers down

58.1% of qualified movers

Based on 1,064 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,657 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

This report covers 1,064 qualified movers: 446 rose and 618 declined. The remaining 41,657 of 42,721 tracked cards are outside this directional view.
Grading Watch is the primary evidence in this report.
8 evidence sections pair each report read with a measured visual and inspectable exact values.

Grading read

Grading Watch

Froakie has a raw price of $16.74 and commands a PSA 10 price of $430.82, yielding a premium of 25.7x with 3 PSA 10 sales.

Similarly, Braixen shows a raw price of $6.00 and a PSA 10 price of $151.25, translating to a 25.2x premium.
These trends highlight the significant value collectors can find in graded cards.

Exact evidence10 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums

Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums

Froakie

Raw: $16.74
PSA 10: $430.82
Premium: 25.7x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Braixen

Raw: $6.00
PSA 10: $151.25
Premium: 25.2x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60)

Raw: $8.72
PSA 10: $218.49
Premium: 25.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Turtwig

Raw: $12.32
PSA 10: $302.58
Premium: 24.6x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Armarouge

Raw: $18.61
PSA 10: $455.03
Premium: 24.5x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Larry's Staraptor

Raw: $5.50
PSA 10: $132.50
Premium: 24.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Gengar V

Raw: $11.50
PSA 10: $274.99
Premium: 23.9x
PSA 10 Sales: 6

Alakazam ex

Raw: $8.40
PSA 10: $198.21
Premium: 23.6x
PSA 10 Sales: 4

Clobbopus

Raw: $7.32
PSA 10: $167.75
Premium: 22.9x
PSA 10 Sales: 8

Electivire

Raw: $11.32
PSA 10: $255.17
Premium: 22.5x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Card	Raw	PSA 10	Premium	PSA 10 Sales
Froakie	$16.74	$430.82	25.7x	3
Braixen	$6.00	$151.25	25.2x	3
Pikachu ex (Pikachu 60)	$8.72	$218.49	25.1x	3
Turtwig	$12.32	$302.58	24.6x	5
Armarouge	$18.61	$455.03	24.5x	3
Larry's Staraptor	$5.50	$132.50	24.1x	3
Gengar V	$11.50	$274.99	23.9x	6
Alakazam ex	$8.40	$198.21	23.6x	4
Clobbopus	$7.32	$167.75	22.9x	8
Electivire	$11.32	$255.17	22.5x	3

Momentum read

Top Movers

Cleffa #150/091 from SV Paldean Fates surged to $10.28, marking a substantial increase of 49.5%.

Chandelure #TG04/TG30 from SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery followed closely with a price of $4.78, up 45.6%.
Shiinotic #194/191 from SV08 Surging Sparks also saw a notable rise of 36.4%, now priced at $3.77.
Notably, Lugia V (Full Art) #185/195 from SWSH12 Silver Tempest increased by 32.7% to reach $22.48, showcasing strong momentum in the current market.

Cleffa card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Chandelure card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Volume read

Volume Watch

Armarouge #086/084 from ME05 Pitch Black experienced a significant volume spike at 4.3x normal levels, despite a 30% price decline to $69.98.

This unusual activity suggests heightened interest, potentially indicating a future price stabilization.
Meanwhile, Mew (Prime) (Triumphant) also saw a 4.3x volume increase with a price jump of 65.6% to $4.61, signaling strong collector demand.

Exact evidence10 rowsVolume Watch measured evidence

Evidence table — Volume Watch measured evidence

Misty's Vitality

Market: $75.00
7d Move: -9.7%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Armarouge

Market: $69.98
7d Move: -30.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Dhelmise

Market: $21.66
7d Move: -20.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Mew (Prime)

Market: $309.04
7d Move: +65.6%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Mega Delphox ex

Market: $9.97
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Slowbro

Market: $24.39
7d Move: -3.3%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Primarina

Market: $79.99
7d Move: -8.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Hilda

Market: $3.28
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Umbreon V

Market: $6.15
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.4x

Snorlax VMAX

Market: $58.84
7d Move: -6.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.2x

Exact values for Volume Watch measured evidence
Card	Market	7d Move	Volume Multiple
Misty's Vitality	$75.00	-9.7%	4.3x
Armarouge	$69.98	-30.0%	4.3x
Dhelmise	$21.66	-20.9%	4.3x
Mew (Prime)	$309.04	+65.6%	4.3x
Mega Delphox ex	$9.97	0.0%	4.3x
Slowbro	$24.39	-3.3%	4.3x
Primarina	$79.99	-8.9%	4.3x
Hilda	$3.28	0.0%	4.3x
Umbreon V	$6.15	0.0%	3.4x
Snorlax VMAX	$58.84	-6.0%	3.2x

Price reset

Notable Declines

Secret Box #163/167 from SV06 Twilight Masquerade fell sharply by 31.2% to $4.14, indicating a significant pullback from previous highs.

Vaporeon #TG02/TG30 from SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery also declined by 28.6%, now priced at $19.65, suggesting a reevaluation of its market position.
These declines present potential fair value opportunities for collectors looking to inspect price corrections.

Secret Box card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Set read

Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin

SWSH11 Lost Origin (2022) has shown an average 7-day price change of +2.7% with a composite score of 24.

The top card in this set is Lady (Full Art), indicating potential for future growth as collector interest remains stable.

Lady (Full Art) card image — Featured set profile
Lady (Full Art)
Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Exact evidence1 rowSet Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin measured evidence

Evidence table — Set Spotlight: SWSH11 Lost Origin measured evidence

Lady (Full Art)

Market: $3.95
7d Move: +2.7%

Set read

Sets in Motion

The market average 7-day change stands at -0.3%.

ME04 Chaos Rising (2026) underperformed with a 7-day average decline of 5.6%, while ME05 Pitch Black (2026) dropped 3%.
In contrast, SWSH12 Silver Tempest (2022) outperformed with a 2.5% increase, driven by strong gains from cards like Lugia V (Full Art).
The total set value for ME04 Chaos Rising is $806.68, reflecting a significant downturn in collector interest.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME04 Chaos Rising2026 set

7d movement: -8.8%
Tracked card value: $806.68
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 12,170

ME05 Pitch Black2026 set

7d movement: -8.6%
Tracked card value: $320.41
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 107

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Nemona is currently priced at $7.33 with a fair value of $65.01, indicating a potential model gap of 786.9%, earning a STRONG_BUY signal with 79% confidence.

Arven, priced at $10.37, has a fair value of $67.20, suggesting a 548.0% model gap.
These cards represent significant below the modeled reference opportunities in the current market.

Exact evidence10 rowsbelow the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis

Evidence table — below the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis

Nemona

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $7.33
Fair Value: $65.01
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +786.9%

Arven

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $10.37
Fair Value: $67.20
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +548.0%

Muk

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $10.28
Fair Value: $49.25
Confidence: 67%
model gap %: +379.1%

Penny

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $17.55
Fair Value: $74.61
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +325.1%

Raikou V

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $6.67
Fair Value: $23.13
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +246.8%

Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $5.84
Fair Value: $20.66
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +253.8%

Rotom ex

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $17.73
Fair Value: $68.00
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +283.5%

Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $17.00
Fair Value: $58.44
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +243.8%

Drayton

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $17.07
Fair Value: $58.13
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +240.5%

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $18.95
Fair Value: $59.48
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +213.9%

Exact values for below the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis
Card	Signal	Market	Fair Value	Confidence	model gap %
Nemona	STRONG BUY	$7.33	$65.01	79%	+786.9%
Arven	STRONG BUY	$10.37	$67.20	79%	+548.0%
Muk	STRONG BUY	$10.28	$49.25	67%	+379.1%
Penny	STRONG BUY	$17.55	$74.61	79%	+325.1%
Raikou V	STRONG BUY	$6.67	$23.13	79%	+246.8%
Hisuian Zoroark VSTAR	STRONG BUY	$5.84	$20.66	79%	+253.8%
Rotom ex	STRONG BUY	$17.73	$68.00	79%	+283.5%
Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex	STRONG BUY	$17.00	$58.44	79%	+243.8%
Drayton	STRONG BUY	$17.07	$58.13	79%	+240.5%
Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex	STRONG BUY	$18.95	$59.48	79%	+213.9%

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

Pack-per-dollar plays focus on standard sealed Pokemon TCG products, with seasonal mini-pack products removed from the comparison.

Exact evidence12 rowsBest Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison

Evidence table — Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.99
Packs: 6
$/Pack: $2.67

Perfect Order Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.04
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.04

Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.38
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.38

Journey Together Booster Pack product image

Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74

Set: SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.77
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.77

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.12
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.04

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.14
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.14

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.22
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.22

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.35
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.35

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) product image

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.70
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.35

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] product image

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $22.47
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.49

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.67
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.84

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.82
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.91

Exact values for Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison
Product	Set	Market	Packs	$/Pack
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.99	6	$2.67
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.09	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.04	1	$6.04
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.24	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.38	1	$6.38
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.74	SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG	$6.77	1	$6.77
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$21.12	3	$7.04
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.14	1	$7.14
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.22	1	$7.22
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.35	1	$7.35
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.70	2	$7.35
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$22.47	3	$7.49
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.67	2	$7.84
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.82	2	$7.91

Continue the comparison

Related recent reports

Sep 15, 2026Mawile #246/217 from ME Ascended Heroes Leads Market

Sep 13, 2026Radiant Venusaur #004/078 from Pokemon GO Leads Market

Sep 12, 2026Charizard ex #196 from SV Scarlet and Violet Promo Cards Leads Market

Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.