NeutralQualified moversJul 9, 2026Daily report

Market Sentiment Holds Steady as SV Paldean Fates Surges 1.7% in Value

This report covers 1,026 qualified movers: 449 rose and 577 declined. The remaining 41,679 of 42,705 tracked cards are outside this directional view.

Market state

Among 1,026 qualified market movers, decliners led 577 to 449 with a recorded 7-day direction (56.2%).

Tracked

42,705

Qualified up

449

Qualified down

577

Top move

+77.7%

View set details

Qualified mover breadth

7-day direction among qualified movers from PokeFocus daily market snapshot

449

qualified movers up

43.8% of qualified movers

577

qualified movers down

56.2% of qualified movers

Based on 1,026 qualified movers with a recorded 7-day direction. The remaining 41,679 tracked cards are not counted as flat; they are outside this movement view and may include near-flat or otherwise unqualified records.

Since the previous report

What changed

This report covers 1,026 qualified movers: 449 rose and 577 declined. The remaining 41,679 of 42,705 tracked cards are outside this directional view.
Set Value Tracker is the primary evidence in this report.
8 evidence sections pair each report read with a measured visual and inspectable exact values.

Set read

Sets in Motion

The total set value for SV Paldean Fates (2024) has increased by 1.7%, totaling $2,382.49, outperforming the market average 7-day change of -0.1%.

In contrast, sets like SV Scarlet and Violet 151 (2023) have seen a decline of 4.6%, with a total set value of $2,111.97, indicating a divergence in collector interest and demand across different sets.

Set highlights

7-day set movement vs market · 30-day card sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

ME04 Chaos Rising2026 set

7d movement: -5.4%
Tracked card value: $801.50
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 12,329

SV Scarlet and Violet 1512023 set

7d movement: -4.6%
Tracked card value: $2,111.97
Vs market: —
30d card sales: 9,723

Grading read

Grading Watch

Pikachu's raw price of $7.99 translates to a PSA 10 price of $249.01, yielding a premium multiple of 31.2x with 16 PSA 10 sales.

Similarly, Ditto's raw price of $20.00 leads to a PSA 10 value of $556.70, resulting in a 27.8x premium with 8 sales, indicating strong collector interest in graded cards.

Exact evidence10 rowsPSA 10 Grading Premiums

Evidence table — PSA 10 Grading Premiums

Pikachu

Raw: $7.99
PSA 10: $249.02
Premium: 31.2x
PSA 10 Sales: 16

Ditto

Raw: $20.00
PSA 10: $556.70
Premium: 27.8x
PSA 10 Sales: 8

Gengar ex

Raw: $7.99
PSA 10: $245.47
Premium: 30.7x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Haunter

Raw: $60.00
PSA 10: $1,606.17
Premium: 26.8x
PSA 10 Sales: 18

Yveltal ex

Raw: $7.73
PSA 10: $205.71
Premium: 26.6x
PSA 10 Sales: 3

Manaphy

Raw: $6.99
PSA 10: $205.12
Premium: 29.3x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Smeargle

Raw: $5.82
PSA 10: $153.09
Premium: 26.3x
PSA 10 Sales: 6

Gardevoir

Raw: $9.04
PSA 10: $234.71
Premium: 26.0x
PSA 10 Sales: 5

Milotic

Raw: $9.00
PSA 10: $230.99
Premium: 25.7x
PSA 10 Sales: 4

Mega Charizard Y ex

Raw: $7.32
PSA 10: $205.99
Premium: 28.1x
PSA 10 Sales: 29

Exact values for PSA 10 Grading Premiums
Card	Raw	PSA 10	Premium	PSA 10 Sales
Pikachu	$7.99	$249.02	31.2x	16
Ditto	$20.00	$556.70	27.8x	8
Gengar ex	$7.99	$245.47	30.7x	5
Haunter	$60.00	$1,606.17	26.8x	18
Yveltal ex	$7.73	$205.71	26.6x	3
Manaphy	$6.99	$205.12	29.3x	5
Smeargle	$5.82	$153.09	26.3x	6
Gardevoir	$9.04	$234.71	26.0x	5
Milotic	$9.00	$230.99	25.7x	4
Mega Charizard Y ex	$7.32	$205.99	28.1x	29

Momentum read

Top Movers

Cleffa #150/091 from SV Paldean Fates leads the gainers with a remarkable price increase of $10.20, reflecting a 77.7% rise over the past week.

Chandelure #TG04/TG30 from SWSH11 Lost Origin Trainer Gallery follows closely at $4.74, up 45.6%.
Shiinotic #194/191 from SV08 Surging Sparks has also shown strength, rising 36.4% to $3.69.
Other notable gainers include Snorlax #143/165 from SV Scarlet and Violet 151 at $5.05 (+33.0%) and Lugia V (Full Art) #185/195 from SWSH12 Silver Tempest at $22.48 (+31.9%).

Cleffa card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Chandelure card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Volume read

Volume Watch

Unusual activity is noted for Primarina (ME05 Pitch Black) with a volume spike of 4.3x normal levels, indicating heightened collector interest despite a stable price.

Similarly, Leafeon VMAX (SWSH07 Evolving Skies) saw a 3.6x increase in volume, reflecting a 37.7% price gain, suggesting strong demand for this card.

Exact evidence10 rowsVolume Watch measured evidence

Evidence table — Volume Watch measured evidence

Primarina

Market: $79.99
7d Move: -8.9%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Leafeon VMAX

Market: $11.67
7d Move: +37.7%
Volume Multiple: 3.6x

M Rayquaza EX

Market: $82.42
7d Move: -9.4%
Volume Multiple: 3.6x

Jynx

Market: $3.08
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.5x

Hilda

Market: $3.29
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 4.3x

Pikachu

Market: $171.98
7d Move: -0.2%
Volume Multiple: 3.3x

Galarian Articuno

Market: $5.40
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.3x

Mew V

Market: $5.32
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.2x

Rare Candy

Market: $3.57
7d Move: +33.5%
Volume Multiple: 3.2x

Pikachu ex

Market: $4.36
7d Move: 0.0%
Volume Multiple: 3.9x

Exact values for Volume Watch measured evidence
Card	Market	7d Move	Volume Multiple
Primarina	$79.99	-8.9%	4.3x
Leafeon VMAX	$11.67	+37.7%	3.6x
M Rayquaza EX	$82.42	-9.4%	3.6x
Jynx	$3.08	0.0%	3.5x
Hilda	$3.29	0.0%	4.3x
Pikachu	$171.98	-0.2%	3.3x
Galarian Articuno	$5.40	0.0%	3.3x
Mew V	$5.32	0.0%	3.2x
Rare Candy	$3.57	+33.5%	3.2x
Pikachu ex	$4.36	0.0%	3.9x

Price reset

Notable Declines

The Secret Box #163/167 from SV06 Twilight Masquerade has experienced a significant pullback, dropping 31.2% to $4.05, alongside a substantial 49.3% decline compared to its 30-day raw median.

Vaporeon #TG02/TG30 from SWSH09 Brilliant Stars Trainer Gallery also saw a decline of 28.2% to $18.99, indicating a fair value context for potential recovery.

Secret Box card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Vaporeon card image — Recent price movement
Current price · 7-day change · 7-day / 30-day sales · PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Set read

Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance

SWSH10 Astral Radiance (2022) has shown a modest average 7-day price change of +3.5%, with an average composite score of 22.

The top card in this set is Jirachi V (Full Art), which remains a focal point for collectors.

Jirachi V (Full Art) card image — Featured set profile
Jirachi V (Full Art)
Snapshot profile · Window: 7-day measurement window · Source: PokeFocus daily market snapshot

Exact evidence1 rowSet Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance measured evidence

Evidence table — Set Spotlight: SWSH10 Astral Radiance measured evidence

Jirachi V (Full Art)

Market: $23.75
7d Move: +3.5%

Fair value read

Solid Value Plays

Nemona is currently priced at $7.30, with a calculated fair value of $65.03, presenting a potential model gap of 790.8% and a STRONG_BUY signal with 79% confidence.

Arven, priced at $10.01, has a fair value of $67.24, indicating a 571.7% model gap, also marked as a STRONG_BUY with 79% confidence.

Exact evidence10 rowsbelow the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis

Evidence table — below the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis

Nemona

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $7.30
Fair Value: $65.03
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +790.8%

Arven

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $10.01
Fair Value: $67.24
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +571.7%

Muk

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $10.30
Fair Value: $49.22
Confidence: 67%
model gap %: +377.9%

Penny

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $17.59
Fair Value: $74.74
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +324.9%

Rotom ex

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $17.88
Fair Value: $68.27
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +281.8%

Mega Lopunny ex

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $18.25
Fair Value: $68.64
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +276.1%

Clemont's Quick Wit

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $9.04
Fair Value: $29.92
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +231.0%

Drayton

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $8.25
Fair Value: $29.40
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +256.4%

Surfer

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $27.51
Fair Value: $96.88
Confidence: 80%
model gap %: +252.2%

Amarys

Signal: STRONG BUY
Market: $16.06
Fair Value: $52.11
Confidence: 79%
model gap %: +224.5%

Exact values for below the modeled reference Cards — Fair Value Analysis
Card	Signal	Market	Fair Value	Confidence	model gap %
Nemona	STRONG BUY	$7.30	$65.03	79%	+790.8%
Arven	STRONG BUY	$10.01	$67.24	79%	+571.7%
Muk	STRONG BUY	$10.30	$49.22	67%	+377.9%
Penny	STRONG BUY	$17.59	$74.74	79%	+324.9%
Rotom ex	STRONG BUY	$17.88	$68.27	79%	+281.8%
Mega Lopunny ex	STRONG BUY	$18.25	$68.64	79%	+276.1%
Clemont's Quick Wit	STRONG BUY	$9.04	$29.92	79%	+231.0%
Drayton	STRONG BUY	$8.25	$29.40	79%	+256.4%
Surfer	STRONG BUY	$27.51	$96.88	80%	+252.2%
Amarys	STRONG BUY	$16.06	$52.11	79%	+224.5%

Pack read

Pack Value Plays

Pack-per-dollar plays focus on standard sealed Pokemon TCG products, with seasonal mini-pack products removed from the comparison.

Exact evidence12 rowsBest Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison

Evidence table — Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster Bundle product image

Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.99
Packs: 6
$/Pack: $2.67

Perfect Order Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.08

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $5.91
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $5.91

Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.23

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.35
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.35

Journey Together Booster Pack product image

Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.73

Set: SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG
Market: $6.75
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $6.75

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita] product image

Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $21.00
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.00

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel] product image

Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.04
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.04

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49

Set: ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.34
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.34

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab) product image

Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $14.70
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.35

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster Pack product image

Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $7.39
Packs: 1
$/Pack: $7.39

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon] product image

Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86

Set: ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG
Market: $22.79
Packs: 3
$/Pack: $7.60

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.82
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.91

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew] product image

Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19

Set: Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG
Market: $15.92
Packs: 2
$/Pack: $7.96

Exact values for Best Pack Value — Sealed Product Comparison
Product	Set	Market	Packs	$/Pack
Greninja ex Battle Deck & 2 Booster BundleBooster Bundle / $15.99	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.99	6	$2.67
Perfect Order Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.08	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$5.91	1	$5.91
Chaos Rising Booster PackBooster Pack / $5.23	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$6.35	1	$6.35
Journey Together Booster PackBooster Pack / $6.73	SV09 Journey Together2025 Pokemon TCG	$6.75	1	$6.75
Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister [Chikorita]Blister Pack / $20.94	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$21.00	3	$7.00
Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Toxel]Blister Pack / $7.53	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.04	1	$7.04
Perfect Order Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $7.49	ME03 Perfect Order2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.34	1	$7.34
Checklane 2-Pack Blister [Pawmot] (1-tab)Blister Pack / $14.86	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$14.70	2	$7.35
Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster PackSleeved Booster Pack / $6.98	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$7.39	1	$7.39
Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]Blister Pack / $20.86	ME04 Chaos Rising2026 Pokemon TCG	$22.79	3	$7.60
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Emboar & Inkay]Tin / $14.10	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.82	2	$7.91
Lumiose City Mini Tin [Feraligatr & Budew]Tin / $16.19	Miscellaneous Cards and Products2018 Pokemon TCG	$15.92	2	$7.96

Continue the comparison

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Market Pulse is generated from PokeFocus market data and AI-assisted analysis, then checked against its structured source values before publication. It is factual market context for collector research, not a recommendation. Inspect current listing photos, seller details, condition, and live marketplace pricing before acting.